Brazil’s campaign for the month-end critical vote is turning into an extraordinary flurry of votes public funds for social plans by Jair Bolsonaro and thus seduce the vote of the impoverished sectors of the country.

The rebel Lula da Silva, who believes the loyalty of these voters has already been assured, does the opposite and it intensifies the hints of the market and the middle class with more concrete upcoming announcements in the sense of with respect to the legal limit of fiscal expenditure here in force by a law and make transparent the measures that in the previous campaign maintained in an irritating reserve.

At the center of this line is the support for the PT of the center-right senator Simone Tebet, who came third with 4% of the votes and who, with that step that I would confirm this Wednesday, I’d give you one further credibility to the path that Lula has taken.

Suddenly, the former center-right president, Fernando Henrique Cardoso, also joined the networks, reiterating in a tweet that “in this second round I am voting for a story of struggle for democracy and social inclusion. Vote for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva “. There is a large deposit of political capital in that gesture.

Meanwhile, and as a central fact of the uncertainty that has grown in the country, enormous concern runs through the Supreme Court, which was permanent goal of President Bolsonaro.

What worries the magistrates is that, regardless of who prevails in the second round of the elections on October 30, the situation in the High Court will be complicated due to the hostility of the allies of the ruling party who entered Parliament with the possibility of carrying out political trials that would bring them down.

Reinforcement of the women head of the family

In the last few hours, Bolsonaro ratified his promise to grant a reinforcement of subsidies to women heads of the family, as part of his Aid program for Brazil launched this year ahead of the elections.

He said this plan will be maintained in the event of re-election, but there is no clarity on how the spending will be financed, local press warns. If Lula wins too would respect the validity of this assistance structure.

“As a result, the president’s election promises – some of which are unsecured in the budget – already amount to 158 billion reais (about 30 billion US dollars)”, writes the authoritative State at your door.

“After promising to keep the aid at R $ 600 (about US $ 125), the correction of the income tax table, the salary readjustment of the servers and the extension of the exemption from federal fuel taxes, Bolsonaro now bets on new ‘kindnesses’ in social benefits, ”he added.

Instead, former President Lula da Silva’s campaign tries to show itself how “the correct and responsible alternative” their spokespersons say. There is no doubt among the former president’s strategists that it will keep the poor vote in the north-west of the country. There is also a large institutional presence of the PT there, which would allow for mobilization to second-round voters

The problem for the former president is reaffirm their moderate positions. One of the keys of this path refers to the care of the legislation that prevents the manipulation of public spending promoted by Henrique Meirelles, the former Minister of Economy of the transitional government of Michel Temer, and that a couple of weeks ago announced that he will vote for the metallurgical unionist, fueling a rise in the stock market.

The imminent announcement would be a change that replaces but does not cancel the limitations, winks of complicity to the markets. Lula’s campaign for the first round had lack of precision forward. “But now it is urgent to resolve these unknowns,” a Brazilian diplomatic source told the envoy..

“You have to hurry, that’s it economy and external equipment what you watch the most, “he said.

In the new project they work PT economists, behind also the idea of ​​the presidential candidate that the other legislation governing the independence of the Central Bank will not be changed. These are all indications that if Lula da Silva returns to Planalto there will be no surprises.

Additionally, you will experience a intense parliamentary scrutiny where he has the Bolsonaro Liberal Party the main minority in both chambers.

Meanwhile, the judiciary is going through this phase with growing concern. In Brazil, sometimes there is a clash very strong between the Powers of the Republic, for the legislative advances on the Constitution and for the attacks of the Executive against the magistrates of the Federal Court and the Supreme Electoral Tribunal.

Sources cited by the newspaper Folha de Sao Paolo, among other things, they indicate that fears are growing that the raid of pro-government figures in Congress will aggravate the court’s chronic crisis with the president.

«The evaluation made in private conversations is that of the victory of names that have distinguished themselves for the attacks on the Court represents a message to be taken into account “, they indicated.

The requests for impeachment against the courtiers are analyzed in the Senate. The sources of that power recalled Clarione in Brasilia, which in Sunday’s elections Bolsonarism won allies in 14 states.

Hence the vision in the Judiciary of a preference for the victory of Lula da Silva. “It will be more comfortable for the court, but not enough to completely disarm Bolsonaro’s offensive against the judicial branch leadership,” Folha said.
Brazil.

Brasilia, special correspondent

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