The heat wave that occurred in late January and early February affected soybean and corn crops. This is indicated by the monthly report of the Rosario Stock Exchange.
Depending on the job, corn production will be 57 million tons, 2 million tonnes less than estimated in January. AND 49.5 million tons of soybeans will be threshed2.5 million tonnes less than a month ago.
Between December and 17 January, a notable water improvement in the soil profiles of a large part of the Argentine production area was consolidated. In addition to the forecast of a strong to moderate Niño phenomenon, an improvement in soybean production data in Argentina was expected a month ago, with excellent possibilities of comfortably exceeding 50 million tons.
But starting January 17, there was a very long and intense heat wave that changed the scenario. Furthermore, it came at a very delicate time for premium soybeans He forced the abortion of the chauchas.
“If you compare this estimate with the projection of early January, the deterioration of crops led to a sharp cut of 2.5 million tons. This cut was not greater thanks to the major rains that fell between the 7th and the 14th February,” he added. the coach.
The stock exchange body’s February estimate also takes into account an adjustment of the national planting area of 100,000 hectares less. A vineyard area of 17.3 million hectares was achieved, 8.3% more than last year, and it is estimated makes the national average 2990 kilos
AS, This would reach 49.5 million tonneswhich despite the decline due to the heat wave, would exceed by 29.5 million tonnes the previous, unsuccessful cycle, when only 20 million tonnes were harvested
As regards second category soybeans, The situation remains very delicate. “Heat stroke has left extensive damage in the Pampas region: there have been potential yield drops of 40%-60% and numerous lost areas leading to an estimated unharvestable area of 750,000 hectares,” he said. BCR report added.
The heat wave also had an impact on corn as production is estimated to have fallen by 3.4% compared to January. With a yield of 7,690 kilos nationwide, 2023/224 corn production is expected to be 57 million tons. The cut is 2 million tonnes compared to the figure estimated in January. As with soybeans, expectations as of January 17th were very different; The high production environment also suggested an excellent corn campaign.
Beyond the fact that there is still a long time to go before the harvest materializes in all its grandeur, there are already some concerns today, the entity warned.
“In early corn, which represents 35% of the total planted, eHeatstroke threatens grain weight loss, which could leave losses of 10% to 15% of the expected yield in the most affected areas. In the late varieties, whose sowing dates caused flowering in the weeks of the heat wave, high damage is recorded, exceeding 50% of the potential yield and there is a great unknown regarding the result that could be obtained. The late ones that were planted later and managed to avoid those weeks benefited from the rains of the second week of February. However, It is very important that you receive new contributions in the following days to affirm the recovery and support the estimated maize production potential for 2023/24,” he explained.
Source: Clarin
