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How much influence do the prizes awarded before the Oscar have?

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Awards season is at its peak, heralding the big gala coming up, Sunday, March 10 (which will be an hour earlier than every year, don’t forget). This weekend the producers’ union, the artists’ union and the Spirits Awards have marked what, it seems, in one of them, will be the progress of the ceremony at the Dolby Theatre.

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Oppenheimer seems to have a clear path to becoming the best film of 2023. It has won 304 awards, including the BAFTA, the Critics Choice Award, the actors’ union award (SAG-AFTRA), the producers and even the directors, in addition to the Golden Globe: has the highest number of Oscar nominations (13), and the only award lost, of any significance, is the César for best foreign film. In this sector he chose the French Film Academy Simple as Sylvainromantic comedy by Canadian Monia Chokri.

However, let us remember that the French academics did not choose to award the Oscar to the best international film Anatomy of a fall (who won everything important at the Césars on Friday) but The passion of Dodin Bouffantwith Juliette Binoche.

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In the case of producers, the awarded film is usually the same one that will win the Oscar. AND Oppenheimer It beat out the same Oscar contenders in the best picture category.

Irishman Cillian Murphy and American Robert Downey Jr. with their Screen Actors Guild statuettes.  Will they happen again on March 10th...?  Photo by AFPIrishman Cillian Murphy and American Robert Downey Jr. with their Screen Actors Guild statuettes. Will they happen again on March 10th…? Photo by AFP

The case of the Spirit Awards is different, as it was customary to deliver them on the Saturday before the Oscars, and which were obviously put on the back burner. But the main difference is that only “independent” films with a budget of up to $30 million can compete (it has been updated, previously it was $20 million). So among the nominees of the Spirit there weren’t even any Oppenheimerneither Barbie. Yes, the two films that have not yet been released in Argentina: Past lives (which will be seen starting this Thursday 29 February in Argentine cinemas) and American fiction.

Past lives it won the Spirit for best film, and its director Celine Song won for best director. Best Screenplay went to American fiction.

Will all this affect the academic grade? From Thursday 22nd you will be able to send your votes, but the deadline is today, Tuesday 27th February. Yes, anyone can do it with Monday’s paper.

"Anatomy of a Fall."  It would be unfair if he remained without reward.“Anatomy of a Fall.” It would be unfair if he remained without reward.

There are less than two weeks left until the ceremony, but when the hand arrives, Oppenheimer will take home 5 statuettes, for best film, director, supporting actor -Robert Downey Jr.-, music, and will add Cillian Murphy as leading actor if Paul Giamatti does not win for Those who remain, and edit.

“Barbie”, the big loser?

The big loser will be Barbie. Not only did it not win any major awards, only the subject matter What was I created for?by Billie Eilish and Finneas, which won the Grammy for best song and gave Billie her second Oscar.

Australian Margot Robbie was happy at the SAG-AFTRA Awards, but left empty-handed.  Photo by AFPAustralian Margot Robbie was happy at the SAG-AFTRA Awards, but left empty-handed. Photo by AFP

Anatomy of a fall It is the rare bird of the year. The film that won the Palme d’Or at Cannes, directed by the Frenchwoman Justine Triet, competes in 5 categories, all important: film, direction, leading actress (German Sandra Hüller), original screenplay and editing. If it had been sent from France to compete in the Best International Film category, it would definitely compete for the award there. Area of ​​interestby Jonathan Glazer.

The Hollywood Academy, in the field of screenplay, both original and adapted, usually distinguishes the authors-directors to whom it will not award the highest prize. And sometimes they tend to be first timers in the competition. Pay attention, therefore, to the original screenplays of Anatomy of a fall, Past lives AND Those who remainand among the adapted, otherwise he will win Oppenheimerwhich would be a way to wipe out the prizes, there American fiction OR Area of ​​interest they may have their only recognition.

Celine SongCeline Song’s “Past Lives” won best film and director at the Spirits Awards. Will this recognition come to him?

The Moon Assassins It seems that she will have to settle for the Oscar for best leading actress, for native Lily Gladstone, who goes head-to-head with Emma Stone for poor creatures. Emma is 35 years old and has already won an Oscar, however The The Earth. If Gladstone takes the stage at the Dolby to thank her for the award, she will be the first Indigenous person to receive it in that category.

It remains to be seen how much the latest awards presented a few hours ago will influence the mood of voters, but it seems that it will be a ceremony with few surprises.

Source: Clarin

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