Why the start of the new school year promises to be high risk for the deputies of the majority

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The presidential coalition is looking circumspectly at the month of September. The deputies will work to convince of their effort on purchasing power and now they must advance in the reform of unemployment insurance, which is unanimously against them among the unions.

The month of September looks like a minefield for the presidential coalition. After a difficult beginning, the Renaissance deputies (former La République en Marche) left their mark and wanted to impose their tone. Here’s what you can expect in the fall.

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• Field to convince on purchasing power

For the first time in 20 years, the session of the National Assembly will resume on October 3. The time has come, therefore, to give the deputies the opportunity to provide after-sales service for the first bills approved in the National Assembly. While showing up at work.

“We have been in the hemicycle a lot since our election. The goal of the month of September is to do grassroots work, education, explain what we voted for,” advances Hadrien Ghomi, deputy for Seine-et-Marne, from BFMTV.com.

The elected officials intend to get points from the voters by detailing the content of the purchasing power law, voted on in the chamber and which specifies various promises of the candidate Macron, such as the revaluation of pensions.

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Will this be judged on a par, with inflation at its highest level since 1987? In macronie, the risk of never doing enough – and that the measures barely decided will already appear dated at the beginning of the school year – is on everyone’s mind.

“In a way, it will always be insufficient, we will always be in reaction. That is why we want to advance on the question of work, which seems to us the only way to respond in depth”, deciphers Aurore Bergé, president of the Renaissance group.

• Unemployment insurance advance

Second project therefore of the majority announced by Olivier Dussopt in the columns of Parisian on July 26: link unemployment “compensation rules” to “the situation of the labor market”.

“When things go well, we toughen the rules,” the Minister of Labor bluntly translates, who must announce the guidelines of the future reform at the beginning of the school year to the social agents.

“It is necessary to encourage more the return to work, especially since unemployment is at its lowest point. Full employment is the first lever of purchasing power”, assumes the deputy and spokesperson for the group Maud Bregeon.

But some are internally reluctant, worried about a poorly chosen tempo and the message being sent.

“We have an unprecedented price increase, the French who are struggling to make ends meet. I really don’t think the time to hit the unemployed is well chosen,” analyzes, reassembled, an elected representative of the left who doubts that the presidential coalition will vote unanimously on the text.

The unions themselves have already said no. “This is not the time,” warned Laurent Bergé, general secretary of the CFDT, but considered the closest to the government among the centrals, with Release.

• Convince LRs to vote on the budget

The 2023 finance bill (PLF) will arrive in the chamber in the fall, but will begin to be studied in committee in September. Very technical, it also has great political value, as it underpins the government’s action for the coming year.

“Traditionally, the oppositions vote against”, acknowledges Aurore Bergé.

In case of rejection of the PLF by the National Assembly, it will seem very complicated not to go through the dissolution box. Suffice it to say that the presidential coalition will do everything possible to convince the maximum number of deputies, especially from the right, to vote for her.

“I am convinced that the responsible socialists and a very important part of LR will vote for this budget if we approach them and give promises of goodwill,” assumes a ministerial adviser.

The month of September should also be an opportunity to increase consultations in all directions, starting with Elisabeth Borne, who could receive the presidents of the groups. With a chance for her government: that the LR, fearing a probably very unfavorable dissolution for the group, vote on the text without incident.

• Improve the response against rebel France and the RN

Since the beginning of the new mandate, social networks have seen a proliferation of videos of parliamentarians and rebel RNs sharing their interventions in session, their analyzes when leaving the chamber… The Renaissance deputies have been much more discreet. Even when they try to fight on Twitter or Facebook, the fight rarely benefits them.

At the end of the session on July 26, the LFI deputy David Guiraud achieved almost 400,000 views of a video in which he denounced the second vote on an amendment that grants an additional 500 million euros for the revaluation of pensions.

Renaissance’s Prisca Thévenot’s response on the same topic generated 579 retweets. On the RN side, we salute the media density of the new deputy Jean-Philippe Tanguy, who, for him, makes noise after a very notorious speech on the podium. In the benches of the majority no new face seems to emerge at the moment.

“We don’t have that culture of shouting loudly in the hemicycle and above all we didn’t need it before having the relative majority. In this we must move forward doing it our way, calmly. We cannot lose the battle of communication”. , recognizes a deputy close to Emmanuel Macron.

However, MPs had been instructed to keep a low profile with coalition MPs. Aurore Bergé, for example, had asked her troops to remain silent during speeches by group leaders like Mathilde Panot or Marine Le Pen after the Prime Minister’s general policy speech. Funny images in the face of relentless opposition. The mood should change now.

Author: Mary Pierre Bourgeois
Source: BFM TV

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