Argentina is one of the candidates to win the World Cup, it is clear. The level of the team, which last year won the Copa América, the long unbeaten record and the presence of Lionel Messi, invite you to dream. And there are not a few who are looking for details and similarities with Mexico ’86.
It’s not just about lighting candles or appealing to the cabal. There are scientific works, for example, such as the mathematical algorithm, which includes the analysis of economic and climatic factors, such as the Gross Domestic Product GDP per capita, the population and the temperature of each country. Based on these data, financier Joachim Klemen, a member of Liberum Capital, has predicted that Argentina will be world champion in Qatar.
In this sense, how are the blue and white odds in the World Cup set up? According to the Codere algorithm, the online casino and sports betting house that is a sponsor of River and Real Madrid, the national team It is one of the three teams with the most chances of winning the World Cup, behind Brazil and France.
Argentina pays 7.5 to win in Qatar, which implies a probability of 13.33%. Brazil, 5.5 (equivalent to an 18.18% chance of becoming champion), and France, reigning champion, which has a slightly lower share than Argentina, of 7, with a 14.29% chance of repeating the enterprise in Russia.
Argentina is on that podium of the favorites among the 32 teams that will participate in the competition. Behind are Spain (pays 9 and its chances of crowning with 11.11%), Germany (12 and 8.3%) and Croatia (50 and 2%).
With less chance of winning the World Cup Saudi Arabia, Iran and Costa Rica, 0.2%. They pay 500. But it would be a nice surprise, of course.
The figures
Who will be the scorer? Harry Kane, the English Tottenham figure, has the lowest odds (8). In that category he is followed by Mbappé (9), Messi and Benzema (both with 13) and Neymar (14). In the top ten there are two Argentines: in addition to Messi, Lautaro Martínez (27) appears in ninth place among the best candidates to be the top scorers of the Cup.
And the player who will give the most assists in the whole World Cup? The one most likely to drive that statistic is neither more nor less than Messi, along the same lines as Belgian Kevin De Bruyne and Neymar (12). That podium is followed by Mbappé (15), Hazard (18), Leroy Sané, Sterling, Vinicius Jr. (all with 20) and another Argentine like Ángel Di María (25).
To win the Ballon d’Or, the two main candidates are the French Mbappé and Benzema (11), closely followed by Messi himself (13). The Argentine who appears next is Lautaro Martínez, tenth on that list with a share of 40.
Source: Clarin