The most probable final of the Qatar 2022 World Cup would be between Argentina and France, according to a study carried out by the Brazilian investment bank XP which used a simulator with mathematical models for data analysis.
In this context, the report adds that the simulators predict the final between France and Argentina as “the most likely”, with 55% chance. for the French to win the title on that stage.
In the meantime and despite “probably encountering greater difficulties in reaching the decisive match” the report indicates that the Brazilian national team has “the best chance of winning the title if it manages to reach the final, according to the model”.
The XP bank study points to teams from the Netherlands, with one probability (18.8%); Argentina (18.4%), France (17.4%), Belgium (16.7%), England (15.7%), Brazil (15.4%), Spain (14.2%) and Denmark ( 11.1%), in order, as the eight with the “best chance” of reaching the final.
But the simulation indicates that, in case they reach the final, those with the best chance of winning the title are Brazil (63%), Argentina (61%), Spain (59%)Netherlands (56.7%), Belgium (51.2%), France (48.7%), Denmark (48.2%), Germany (47.1%) and England (46.1%).
“According to our simulations, the five teams with the best chances of going to the final are Argentina, Belgium, Brazil, Spain and the Netherlands. For comparison purposes, betting sites include Argentina, Brazil and Spain among the favourites. , but also they put France and England in the top five most likely,” XP said in his study.
Another conclusion is that probably Argentina, Belgium, Brazil, Spain, France, the Netherlands and Portugal They will pass “without difficulty” to the round of 16according to the study.
The mathematical model took into account several variables, including the characteristics of each national team, their position in the various world rankings – including that of FIFA -, their performance in recent matches, their history of results when they face each other and possible crosses to give positions in their groups.
With information from Telam
Source: Clarin
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