What happens if Argentina draws with Mexico?

The week has been a long one for the entire Argentine delegation in Qatar. Tuesday’s defeat against Saudi Arabia, the rival who had appeared the most accessible in the group in the previous one, shook the national team library and it forces them to face the match against Mexico with even more pressure than would naturally already exist.

“It’s a final for us, we have to win”She said Lautaro Martinez at the press conference. “When you get one pineapple, two, three, all you have to do is stand up. And this group is trained to do that, we have no doubt,” she added. Lionel Scaloni.

‘Argentina is forced to win‘, is repeated over and over, but the truth is this a draw would allow us to reach the last appointment with chances and also, whether the planets align, depending on himself.

The scenario would be similar to the one experienced by the Sampaoli team in Russia 2018: one draw (1-1 against Iceland) and one defeat (3-0 against Croatia). On that occasion, Marcos Rojo’s heartbreaking goal against Nigeria gave the Albiceleste qualification.

This time, Argentina and Mexico will square off at 16:00, with the result set for Arabia vs. Poland (they will be face to face from 10am).

In case of consummation of equality, the most convenient thing for both is that the Arabs and the Poles also have a draw, as in this way they would qualify by winning on the last date (Poland-Argentina and Saudi-Mexico, simultaneously on Wednesday at 16:00)

If these results were given on Saturday, the positions would be as follows: Saudi leaders with 4 points and goal difference +1, Mexico and Poland in second place (2 pts and 0) and last Argentina (1 pts and – 1) . They would all depend on themselves.

Instead, if there is a winner in Poland vs. Arabic, a draw between those of Scaloni and those of Martino would be a complication for both, given that they would no longer depend on themselves. Therefore, What would the Argentine landscape look like in this situation?

If Saudi Arabia wins on Saturday

If Saudi Arabia beat Poland, he would be left with an ideal score, and a draw between Argentina and Mexico would guarantee first place.

In that case, those in green would reach 6 points and Mexico (2), Argentina (1) and Poland (1) would compete for the second ticket to the round of 16.

La Scaloneta, in this context, would need beat Lewandowski and company on Wednesday and hope Mexico doesn’t add three against a Saudi who, as mentioned above, will put nothing on the line.

If Poland win on Saturday

If Poland wins, a draw against Mexico would leave an even more complex situation for the national team, as they would need to win and define (with one or two teams) on goal difference.

The standings, facing Wednesday’s match, would be as follows: Poland 4 points, Arabia 3, Mexico 2 and Argentina 1.

Thus, Argentina would match the Euros line with a win at the end and define the table on goal difference. Argentines and Poles will contest second place like this in case there is a winner in Mexico vs. Saudi, but there could be a three-way tie between Argentina, Saudi and Poland if that game ends in a draw.

In short, the draw against Mexico serves Argentina if Poland and Arabia also drawotherwise you should start mining the calculator.

GL