Liverpool-Real Madrid, the revenge: history and favoritism

Liverpool vs Real Madrid It’s an early final. And if not, just remember the last time they met on May 28 last year St. Denis. Then, the Spanish team won 1-0.

That time, those led by Charles Ancelotti They were about to play at the Stade de France. Especially since the networks they came in very strong, having won their group with full points and making it through all the knockout stages without problems. real Madridinstead, it was about to be left out PSG, Chelsea and Manchester City, with historical returns. For this reason, on the eve of the final, the English were favourites.

Second codeOfficial betting house of Real Madridthe consecration of Liverpool paid 1.61. That of the meringues, 2.3, even after the conquest of La Liga, several dates before the end. Victory in 90 minutes paid 2.10 for the English against 3.25 for the Spanish.

Today, with the last precedent of that victory and especially with the current state of both teams, those odds are very different for the round of 16. Favoritism has been reversed. the passage of real Madrid in the quarterfinals it pays 1.65, while the red bump has a fee of 2.10. They are not the same numbers that can be played thinking only of the first leg, in which the head Jurgen Klopp will be local: for the first boy, Liverpool He is a slight favorite and pays 2.35, against Real Madrid’s 2.75 (the draw, 3.50).

What’s behind the change of favoritism before the key to the round of 16? He real Madrid is re-rolled after winning the Club World Cup in Morocco and holds the basis of the 2022 European champion, while the Reds do not have their best season. I am ninth in the Premier League and very far from the ranking positions a Samplesalready removed from League Cup he was born in England cupthey don’t go through a great moment beyond their last win in the small town classic against a Everton which is in the relegation places. In 2023, after eight games, he won only two, with four defeats and two draws.

He real Madridinstead, he is raised: he has won his last three games and scored 13 goals!with three from Vinicius (score of the goal in the final against Liverpool), three from Benzema (the figure of the last Samples) and three by Valverde (who assisted Vini against Liverpool in 2022). In this sense, the odds for the power of the goal of the Madrid: if the whites score more than two goals in the first leg of the round of 16 they pay 4.75, while if they score four or more goals, as in the last few games, the odds are 11.00.

A record that favors Real Madrid

Real Madrid not only beat Liverpool in the last final. He had also eliminated him in the 2020/21 Champions League quarter-finals (3-1 win at the Bernabéu and 0-0 draw at Anfield).

The previous crossing was, in fact, in another final: in the 2018 Champions League, in Kiev, Real Madrid avenged the 1981 European Cup final (Liverpool won 1-0) with a sensational 3-1. Before sharing the group stage in 2014, with two wins for the Spaniards (1-0 and 3-0) and the Reds, in the only elimination against Real since the Champions League was played, they won comfortably in the round of 16 2009 (4-0 and 1-0). Thus, they total nine games, with five wins for Real Madrid, three for Liverpool and only one draw.