Superclásico bets, a field in which River is always (or almost always) the favorite over Boca

River AND Mouth they will meet again. It will be this Sunday from 17:30 at the Monumental by the 15th date of Professional league. And the question that always arises on the eve of the most important match in Argentine football is which of the two arrives better.

River lead the table, six points above San Lorenzo and 16 points ahead of Boca. With these data, one could say that Demichelis’ team is doing better. However, in the last week the roles have changed a bit.

Is that the group of Núñez has suffered a major blow in Libertadores Cupbe beaten by fluminense in the Maracana, while Boca seems to have recovered after the arrival of Jorge Almiron and to overcome adverse outcomes. The Xeneize won the classic very well racing in the Bombonera for the championship and subsequently achieved an important 2-0 victory Colo-Colo in Chile for the Libertadores, which gave him air in his group and led him to qualify for the round of 16.

what the bets say

So which of the two comes in better? As it always says even in the preview of the super classics, these are separate parties, which are usually not tied to a context or precedent. However, there is always a favorite, especially in the betting world. And this time it’s River. Winning Demichelis’ team at home and in front of his own pays $1.65 per peso wagered code, while the triumphant Xeneize trades 5 pesos. Meanwhile, the breakeven, $3.80. It’s inside Playsanother betting house, the “millionaire” win pays 1.68 pesos, while that of Boca, $4.30 and the draw $4.20.

That the triumph of the River has a preference in betting is part of a very curious fact of the last years of the Superclásico. codeofficial bookmaker and since 2022 main sponsor of River, revealed in its database a statistic which says a lot about what these last few years of the Gallardo cycle have been like, which for many represented a whole paradigm shift in the Super.

Of the last 34 games River and Boca have played, River has come out as favorite in 21 of them. But since the 2018 Copa Libertadores final Madridthe history of favoritism has taken an even more marked trend.

There have been 12 clashes since the iconic match at the Santiago Bernabéu, including the final in the Spanish capital and this Sunday’s duel at the Monumental, and the number speaks volumes: In 11 of these last 12 superclassics, River has been favored over Boca.

In which of these crosses was he the best candidate to win Boca? In a very particular one: the classic of May 16, 2021, for the quarter-finals of the League Cup. River went into that match with more than half of their squad infected with Covid-19 and presented a starting squad in which Alan Leonardo Díaz, who hadn’t even made his Reserve debut at the time, made saves.

Otherwise, with one particular exception, the favorite was always River, also in the last two games that Boca won 1-0 in 2022, with a goal from Sebastián Villa at the Monumental, in March and from Darío Benedetto, at La Bombonera, in September. In both competitions, League Cup and League, then Boca were champions. And the last time they met at the Monumental was in October 2021, when River won 2 to 1. And then it was also established.