Economist Javier Milei, in the presentation he made a few days ago at the Book Fair. Photo REUTERS
Richard Rouvier is one of those consultants who for many years has been more linked to the world of the Kirchnerist. In 2019, he publicly supported Fernández’s formula and although he is not now a member of the group of pollsters closest to the Instituto Patria or Casa Rosada, he continues to circle there. And his last poll Bring striking facts, although at this point that is no longer surprising. About Albert? About Christina? No, about Javier Mileithe political phenomenon that altered polarization.
The study moving forward Clarion This Wednesday includes a national survey from 1,200 cases. This was done between May 2 and 12, and showed results with a +/- 2.8% margin of error. Rouvier reviewed opposition leadership Y the libertarian economist dropped his colleagues from Together for Change.
Photo issue (general)
The first frame of the study of Rouvier this is the classic image ranking, sorted by positive rating. And there, like most studies, on the one hand opponents dominate and on the other hand, within that group, Horacio Rodríguez Larreta leads.
Ang head of the Buenos Aires government combines 54.5% weighting in favor and 39% against. This is followed by an unofficial quartet that also has a positive distinction. This data is no longer common in other polls, where public opinion disgust with the overall situation is usually seen in more rejection than support for politicians.
in counts of Rouvierbelow Larreta came:
– Patricia Bullrich: + 49.9% at – 44.7%.
– Maria Eugenia Vidal: + 45.7% at – 45.2%.
– Javier Milei: + 42.6% at – 34.4%.
– Facundo Manes: + 41.6% at – 29%.
In all cases, complete “don’t know/don’t answer”.
And from the middle of the table down, again on the occasion with many other surveys, piled up referents of the Front of All plus Mauricio Macri. The former president, who is beyond some statistical ups and downs, appears to have a strong image balance against him and has numbers similar to Alberto F. and Cristina.
Some polls, such as by the Poliarquía conducted by Clarín on Tuesday, show a the former president’s steepest descent.
Returns the image numbers of Rouvierthey close like this:
– Alberto Fernandez: + 36.4% at – 60.4%.
– Mauricio Macri: + 36.3% at – 62%.
– Cristina Kirchner: + 36% at – 63.3%.
– Serge Massa: + 34.2% at – 63%.
– Axel Kicillo: + 33.5% at – 54.1%.
Leadership issues (opponent)
The second study table is the one that carries perhaps the most notable data. It focuses on “President Alberto Fernández’s main opponents”. First curiosity: Fernández’s vice president, Cristina Kirchner, pops up on the list of options. Second curiosity: although it was official, it didn’t end last on the table.
But thinking about positioning for 2023, the strongest thing is that there is no leader of Together for Change, the main unofficial coalition, who is no longer leading the table, but Milei. In a ranking that allows multiple answers (that is, choosing more than one), the libertarian economist added 41.9%. More than 10 emerged second, Macri (30.5%).
Then they complete:
– Bullrich: 25.1%.
– Larreta: 21.3%.
– Cristina: 17.9%.
– Hands: 8.1%.
– Other: 8.5%.
– Unknown: 7.2%.
Ultimately, the report focuses specifically on Milei, perhaps to better understand a phenomenon that clearly transcends economic (market vs. state) and ideological (right vs. left) debate. And one particular response might bring up an interesting point in the debate: more than half of those surveyed did not care about Milei’s ideology.
Other figures in the same sense? 30% do not know their ideological position and 5% put it on the exact opposite path, the left/middle-left.
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