The new survey measured Macri, Larreta, Bullrich and Milei in 24 provinces: who won each

If the members of Together for Change had already begun a strong debate about the electoral possibilities of their candidates, hard and soft, within the large internal, the disruption of Javier Milei added an unexpected and interesting element to the discussion. Pollsters also understood this, who began to mix it up with their measurements. With remarkable results.

Now, it is CB Public Opinion Consultant which one reviewed the economist and the three main PRO references (Mauricio Macri, Horacio Rodriguez Larreta Y Patricia Bullrich), in a particular hand nationwide. Province by province.

It’s not just another pollster: it is the company best predicted the 2021 election, not only the national legislatures, but also some of the predecessors already inside. In May, it surveyed 600 to 1,020 cases per district.

Clarion two central components of the study have been advanced: on the one hand, the rank of governors; for others, a front of five figures of the ruling partyalso province by province, where surprisingly Cristina Kirchner didn’t win either of them.

Opponent data spoiler: Macri also did not dominate any district. Surprise or other evidence of a certain social exhaustion with crack emblems?

The table is compiled taking into account the positive reviews of references and potential candidates.

– Milei is ahead at 14 out of 24, but they only represent over 28% of the country’s voters.

– Larreta, on the other hand, led with only 7 but more than half of all voters.

– And Bullrich appears in the top with only 3 but important: they add up to approximately 18% of the total electorate.

The best and the worst in Milei

The balance is quite positive for the libertarian economist. The same consultant measured its image in 24 provinces at the beginning of the year and the the latest results show clear improvement.

Boot, raised his level of knowledge across the country (logically because of its presence in the media and its displays in the interior). And it ended with a plus that none of the other analyzed leaders, whether official or opposition, got: it is one of the few with a more positive image than negative in all districts.

Within that overall good scenario, he was ahead of 14 provinces, including 5 of the 10 largest: Mendoza (5th in number of voters), Tucumán (6th), Salta (8th), Chaco (9th) and Misiones. (10 °). In addition, he led 10 of the smallest: Santiago del Estero, San Juan, Jujuy, Neuquén, Formosa, Chubut, Catamarca, La Rioja and Santa Cruz. Between all of them, they make up more than a quarter of the national election.

Regarding debit, more than “the worst” do not know: What the 10% to 20% will say that is generally unknown in most provinces and, especially, what will happen at election time. Will the beautiful image of the economist with a strange hairstyle, shouting an anti-system speech, vote?

The best and the worst in Larreta

The performance image of the head of the Government of Buenos Aires It’s somewhere between good and very good., at some good moment, since the beginning of the pandemic. But he no longer has a monopoly on leadership in all polls and, like Milei, he doubts: Will the good image translate into votes?

Also, like the libertarian economist, Larreta was privileged to show more support than rejection in the 24 districts reviewed. Even with a higher level of knowledge than Milei. But there is a key difference: the head of government rules in fewer areas but overall more people.

Larreta is upstairs of positive image ranking in the same Buenos Aires (the great and the self -governing), in Between the Rivers, Corrientes, Rio Negro, La Pampa and Tierra del Fuego. They gather more than 53% of voters nationwide.

And in other very populated, such as Cordoba and Santa Fe (second and third with more voters in Argentina) second.

The best and the worst of Bullrich

The owner of PRO, that isand saw like few others the opportunity to establish himself as a national figure The leadership in anti-kirchnerism lasts only after the defeat of 2019, it has already been compiled as a benchmark at the national level.

So this bidding by four heavy opposition will precede the positive image in three provinces: Córdoba, the capital of anti-Kirchnerism; Santa Fe and San Luis. They are few but add more than 18% of the total voters.

In CABA it was second and in Mendoza, third, but close to the leaders. That is, as a good yellow reference, it is great in large urban centers. Its Achilles heel may be the province of Buenos Aires: there is clearly less of its size than Larreta, a little lower than Milei but above Macri.

This is one of seven districts where it reaps more rejection than supportyes It also occurs in La Pampa, Río Negro, Chubut, Santiago el Estero, Tierra del Fuego and Santa Cruz.

The best and the worst in Macri

The return of the former president as central actor of PRO and Together for Changeand the recirculation of his name within the red circle debates, will not until now (or not in the same dimension) have a similar effect on public opinion.

In other words: while Macri’s leadership within the opposition is no longer discussed, his numbers on the polls continue to be debated. Especially when it comes to image reviews, his performance is more closely related to the pro-government leaders in question than his colleagues at JxC.

In the voting intent vote, on the other hand, the former president reiterated his strong support and, as Cristina within the Front of Allplease prevail over some internal dimensions.

About the survey image numbers CB, Macri only had a balanced favor over Córdoba and CABA, but even there he was unable to be the most important of the four opponents reviewed. Then his image collapsed in the rest of the country, and in 13 provinces, including Buenos Aires, it has more than 60 points of negative weight.