Professional League: mathematics warns who will be the champion, who will go to the cups and who has more chances of relegation

Not long ago, associating difficult science with football seemed like a joke or an exaggeration. But gradually neuroscience appeared, psychology – even if it is not a difficult science -, neurobiology, chemistry and even mathematics. At first glance, even now that they are more accepted, they seem alien to the football field. Football was (and continues to be) a territory more akin to cabal, chance, and even witchcraft. But in this century the spaces have been redefined and the contributions of presumably disconnected knowledge have appeared. Math included.

Now it’s the turn of the Professional Football League. And mathematics offers its point of view on the matter. Through the site developed by the Institute of Informatics of the University of Buenos Aires (UBA) dependent on the Faculty of Exact Sciences: 301060. The number is a tribute to Diego Maradona; your date of birth, “Christmas of football”as stated by Guillermo Durán, dean of the university.

Remember: the Computing Institute is an internationally multi-award-winning entity within the UBA, the Ibero-American university number one for the eighth consecutive year according to the ranking drawn up by the British consultancy firm QS Quacquarelli Symonds.

Conto Iván Monardo, thesis student of the Institute and part of the project that – for example – had a very high number of successes in the 2018 World Cup in Russia and in the last two America’s Cups (with percentages that, for example, in the two final stages of the continental tournament reached 75%):

“We take all the matches of the First Division and First National 2019. We do not use the results of the Argentine Cup or international cups. We need those of the second category to calculate how many of the newly promoted teams “.

And he adds: “Then as a particularity we take into account the location, but since in a pandemic we played without an audience, we divided that bonus by 2 in the games at the time”.

And the results are as follows:

For the title

1) River 48.84%

Two) Mouth 30.06%

3) Velez 4.63%

4) Stroke 3.80%

5) Students 3.68%

Then there are: Defense and Justice (2.31%) and there are two others that exceed 1%, Argentinos (1.08%) and Talleres (1.06%).

For a place in the cups

Liberators: Boca (100%, already ranked as champion of the recent League Cup), River (98.90%), Racing (81.76%), Students (72.83%) and Defense (45.91%). Then Argentinos, Vélez, Gimnasia and Newell appear. The rest, with percentages of less than 10%.

South American: Vélez (58.23%), Argentines (54.58%), Gimnasia La Plata (54.57%), Newell’s (53.92%), Defense (46.56%). Then Tigre, Banfield, Independiente, Estudiantes and Colón appear. The rest, with percentages of less than 10%.

The two who get off

1) Foundation Board 92.48%

Two) Godoy Cruz 21.22%

3)Platense 20.32%

4) Central Barracks 18.55%.

5) Sarmiento 18.48%

The rest of those who struggle for permanence with percentages of less than 10%.