Selection is not a serious candidate for predictive analytics. Photo: Marcelo Rolland
The present of Argentina national team who commands Lionel Scalloni Y Leone Messi It can’t be better. They come from the Copa América victory against Brazil at Maracana in July and the Grand Final against Italy at Wembley earlier this month. They are two titles in less than a year, which demonstrate good collective play, defensive solidity and relentless attack.
But beyond the sensational news on the pitch – and the 33 unbeaten matches – there are those who do not see the Albiceleste as a possible candidate for the Qatar World Cup 2022. How is it possible?
As published by the portal “Analyst“, which is dedicated to carrying out predictive analyzes through the study of statistics and information to predict future behavioral patterns, there will be amazement in the world of football. At least, for those who follow sports.
The Argentine national team, eighth in the ranking of possible champions in Qatar 2022.
The Argentine national team is surprisingly in eighth position among those who have the most chances to become Qatar 2022 World Cup champion with a 6.45% chance.
The predictive study also analyzed European powers and placed them at the top of the rankings along with just one South American. The big favorite is the latest champion, Francewhich appears at the top of the numbers with an overwhelming one 17.93 percent chance to win the title.
It appears further back Brazil, the second South American in the top ten. The five-time champion has a 15.73 percent chance to hoist the trophy. Sure, they have a story. They took it five times.
The ranking of the chances of being champion in Qatar 2022. Photo: The Analyst.
Behind the “canarinha” appears Spainthe world champion in 2010 closes the podium of candidates with a 11.53 percent chance to get the title. A selection that ranks among the most consolidated and gives space to his new figures.
Then they appear: England (8.03%), Belgium (7.9%), the Netherlands (7.7%), Germany (7.21%), Argentina (6.45%), Portugal (5.11%) and Croatia (2.31%).
Possible final: France vs. Brazil.
If one gets carried away by these numbers, the logical thing would be to see in December a final between France and Brazil to establish the world title. For the Gauls it would be his third star, while for “Scratch” it would be the sixth. But, of course, they have to get through the group stage first, which is no small task.
According to the authors of the study, Brazil have a much more difficult draw than the team led by Didier Claude Deschamps who will start from the quarter-finals, where they will face tough teams. The “Gauls”, for their part, would not have such a difficult life. This would explain why the statistics drive.
For the analyst the “group of death” is E.. I’m there Spain, Germany, Japan and Costa Rica.
Why does the Netherlands have so little chance according to these statistics? The “Clockwork Orange” appears in sixth position because, if it passes the group stage, it would coincide in the elimination standings with powers such as Brazil, Spain and Argentina. Not least: these three teams have participated in seven of the last nine World Cup finals. This takes away many possibilities.
Finally, the few chances that the Argentine national team led by Lionel Scaloni have of lifting the world trophy are justified by the allusion to a possible cross against France or Denmark. But let’s remember, everything is a scientific prediction based on statistical data.
Finally, the site recalled an example: Italy was crowned Euro 2020 champion despite having a 7.6% probability in previous studies. After all, when the ball starts rolling, everything else takes a back seat.
Source: Clarin
