One week before the first round of the elections in Brazil and less than three weeks before the ballot, Lula da Silva still up by 10 percentage points in the voting preferences to become president of the country again. According to the latest survey by the company Ipec, the former president it would collect 55% of the valid votes compared to 45% of the current president, Jair Bolsonaro.
We recall that in the first session of 2 October, Lula collected 48% of the valid votes against 43% of President Bolsonaro, a result much tighter than expected according to the polls.
The survey published this Tuesday by the public opinion consulting firm belonging to the Globo media chain has a margin of error of plus or minus 2%, so much so that, in the most adjusted scenario, Lula would impose with 53% to 47%according to the voting intention identified by the IPEC.
The investigation, which took place between Saturday and Monday, gathered an overall vote will of 51% for Lula and 42% for Bolsonaro, with 5% of empty or invalid votes and 2% undecided, detailed the digital newspaper G1, of the Globo network.
The valid votes are those that favor one of the candidates, and to calculate the incidence votes are not considered null or void nor, in the case of the polls, the answers of those who have not decided who to support.
Instead, the survey recorded it within a week dropped from 50% to 48% the percentage of Brazilians would not vote for Bolsonaro at all and the percentage of those who would not vote for Lula increased from 40% to 42%.
Another look
the British medium The Economist, for its part, it maintains constant monitoring of the electoral scenario based on the extrapolation of data from various surveys. According to his forecasts for this Tuesday, October 11, Lula would have eliminated the 54% of the votes against 46% for Bolsonaro. an advantage of 8 percentage points.
Lula leaves the red and Bolsonaro seeks the support of the mayors
The campaign of former president Lula da Silva has abandoned the traditional red of the Workers’ Party (PT) and changed it to white, in the name of “love and peace”.
That chromatic-political change, as the campaign sources admitted, aims to strengthen the broad progressive front that Lula has formed and is still trying to expand by the ballot.
In Brazilian politics, red represents the Workers’ Party (PT), founded by Lula in 1980, but some of the new allies who joined the progressive front have hinted that they do not feel reflected in that color, typical of the left. .
One of these was the center-right Simone Tebet, third in the first round with 4.1% of the votes and who is now part of Lula’s campaign for the second round on 30 October.
According to Tebet, the red “distances” those voters who reject the PTwho could stop supporting Lula and abstain from voting or, at worst, side with the far-right leader.
For his part, Bolsonaro received on Monday the mayors of several cities in the interior of the country, of which support started trading in view of the second round of elections.
“The mayors know very well how to differentiate what my government is from the previous ones,” Bolsonaro told reporters, after meeting a dozen municipal heads from various regions and, above all, from the interior of the state of Sao Paulo, who it constitutes the largest constituency in Brazil.
According to the president and leader of the far right, in the first round, in which the legislative chambers were also renewed, most of the mayors were more focused on campaign support of candidates for seats in Parliament.
“Their effort has focused more on helping to elect the deputies,” but now the mayors will pass fully into the second round of the presidential electionsBolsonaro assured.
Source: Télam, AFP and EFE
Source: Clarin
