China expects surge in COVID-19 confirmed cases… “Concerned about the lack of beds for critically ill patients”

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As the Chinese authorities have virtually abandoned the ‘zero corona’ policy that has been maintained for three years, there are concerns that the number of new coronavirus infections (Corona 19) will increase rapidly, and that the lack of hospital rooms will face difficulties at the level of medical crisis or medical collapse. .

According to Taiwan’s Ziyu Times on the 9th (local time), the number of medical beds in China is 6.7 per 1,000 people, and only 3.6 ICUs per 100,000 people. In the case of ICUs to accommodate severe corona19 patients, Germany has 28.2 per 100,000 people, the United States 21.6, and Japan 13.8, far more than China. Nevertheless, these advanced countries could not avoid the shortage of hospital beds in the early days of ‘With Corona’. Hong Kong, a special administrative region of China, has 7.1 ICUs per 100,000 people, twice that of China. However, during the 5th wave of Corona 19 in March, Hong Kong suffered a medical crisis by setting up tents outside hospital emergency rooms due to the lack of ICU beds and accommodating severely ill patients.

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Expectations that the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases will surge are also emerging in China. Feng Zijian, former deputy director of the China Center for Disease Control and Prevention, who is active in the Chinese National Joint Corona 19 Prevention and Control Expert Group, said, “When the first peak of a large-scale infection shock is reached, 60% of the total population will be infected, and eventually the infection rate will decrease. It will be 80 to 90 percent,” he predicted. This means that at least 840 million and up to 1.26 billion people will get Corona 19. The problem is that even if there is only one confirmed case for the third year so far, the country is not prepared to respond to group infections because it has only implemented a ‘zero corona’ policy of sealing off the entire area and isolating residents. There are many problems that need to be addressed, such as a shortage of hospital beds, a shortage of medical personnel, and an insolvent medical system. In particular, health experts in China consider the New Year’s holiday, which will take three days off on January 1 next year, and the Lunar New Year holiday, which will take a week off from January 22 next year, as the most dangerous times. At this time, the spread of Corona 19 may peak, and the medically and socially vulnerable may face serious risks. However, it is also emphasized that the toxicity of the currently prevalent Corona 19 omicron mutation is weak, so that even if infected, there is little possibility of developing severe symptoms.

Quarantine authorities in Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, where the largest number of confirmed cases have recently occurred in China, said, “90% of the 162,700 confirmed cases were asymptomatic, and only 4 patients with severe or severe symptoms were 0.0025%.” “This is 4 It is a much lower figure than during the outbreak of Corona 19 in Shanghai in February.”

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Source: Donga

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