The Americans do not accept a ceasefire “under the current conditions”, which would favor Russia currently on the offensive, and even Vladimir Putin refuses an immediate truce. Verbal confrontations are more belligerent and this it doesn’t bode well to the visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping who arrived in Moscow on Monday for three days of dialogue with his Russian ally.

Everyone wants to know how concretely Xi is willing to do it bank the Russian strategy in the war that the Chinese claim to face with “objectivity and impartiality” in favor of “negotiations of reconciliation and peace”.

It is expected, but not confirmed, that after his visit Xi Jinping will hold a telephone conversation with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. Then we will see if there really is a Chinese desire for peace for Ukraine, in some specific aspect.

So far the Chinese seem pay more attention to bilateral agreements which both presidents will sign in Moscow and which have above all a commercial and technological importance.

There will also apparently be high-profile strategic importance, the consolidation of the Chinese yuan as an international trading currency at the expense of the dollar. In Moscow, this great leap forward would be institutionalized.

Xi Jinping and Putin coincide in pushing towards the common project of the “Global Security Initiative”, invented by Chinese diplomacy, which is a challenge to US global domination.

Both believe, albeit with different approaches, that it has entered a slow crisis of decline of Western hegemony under US leadership imposed after WWII. Many Westerners agree.

china and russia share a strong alliance. They believe they are a key counterweight to global stability.

The Chinese say they invented the phrase “Complicated problems have no simple solutions” and that this truth forces us to carefully manage the elements that China can provide to its Russian ally to reduce the war in Ukraine.

China claims that in this conflict it has maintained an “objective and impartial” position. He never approved Putin’s war decision, but reality has created a series of problems which, in some cases, are also opportunities.

weaken the Americans is the most important and reinforce them an unforgivable, but also probable mistake, China disapproves of war, but shares the Russian version of the guilty origin of the United States in its gestation from the “cold war mentality”, which promoted the siege of the NATO, the Western military alliance, to Russia using the Ukrainian tool and clinging to “endangered” dominance.

But also the Chinese Fulfill Putin’s colonial ambitions continue to expand the recovery of territories it considers historically Russian, behind its ambition to restore the imperial past that dates back to the tsarist era.

A few days ago, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko visited Beijing, close ally of Russia but who tries to avoid getting involved in the war and who certainly gave Xi Jinping good advice on Putin’s ideas and his vision of the state of the conflict in Ukraine.

Putin has decided to strike back blow for blow to the decision of the International Court of Justice which decided to try him for war crimes following his campaign to send children from Ukraine to be Russified.

Convinced that the announcement in The Hague has something to do with the announcement of Xi Jinping’s visit, he went on Saturday to invaded Ukraine for the first time since the start of the war on February 24.

He has chosen his scale carefully to clarify that Russia is not willing to make any territorial concessions. appeared for the first time in Sevastopol, Crimeawhere is the Russian fleet in the Black Sea.

His visit was also a celebration of the ninth anniversary since the Russians invaded and occupied the Crimean peninsula, an initiative Ukrainians see as the start of the current war.

Russia considers a withdrawal from Crimea non-negotiable. Putin’s visit confirmed that any talks must be based on Western acceptance of the occupied territory. Regard a territorial hammer stretching from southwest to east to the Russian border. The two central points are Crimea and half of the Donbass region, the richest in the country in minerals and agriculture.

In Donbass there are the two small republics of Donesk and Lugansk, which became part of the Russian Federation in October, after an annexation referendum piloted by the occupier of Moscow.

In the south there are two other territories incorporated “forever” also in October.

In order for the irreversible will to be clear, Putin moved to neighboring Ukraine. In the city of Rostov, Cossack land, there is the command of the “special military operation” which is waging the war.

There, a hundred high-ranking soldiers spoke with Putin, who was received by General Valery Gerasimov, the armed forces’ operational commander for a decade.

Gerasimov summed up the situation and the progress of a new Russian offensive which should be strengthened before the start of the Ukrainian counter-offensive scheduled for April, when they will arrive and be operational the new weapons that the West sends.

The last main course was reserved for Saturday evenings. Putin, driving a car, was present in Mariupolthe martyr city, near the Sea of ​​Azov, 90% destroyed by the Russians last year, with thousands of dead.

Putin was seen moving around alone on Saturday night, with few people on the street. The images showed the reconstruction works. Russian engineers, architects and residents who greeted him when he visited some new homes, explained the creation of micro-districts and other news, such as reconstruction of the monumental theater in Mariupolwhich was one of the most important cities of Ukraine.

Xi Jinping has chosen Moscow as the first stellar stop on an international tour celebrating his third consecutive term as Chinese president. He will see his old friend Putin for the fortieth time.

Xi’s best partners

It must avoid jeopardizing other Chinese foreign policy goals. In the capitalist West are by far its main trading partners: United States, Europe, Japan, South Korea, Australia, Canada. China wants to further strengthen relations, especially with the 27 countries of the European Union.

Xi must also prevent the Moscow meeting from jeopardizing relations with the United States with new tensions.

China need to ensure solid internal growthsource of legitimacy of the communist party, and for this it needs to further improve access to the capitalist markets in which it already operates for more than 15 trillion (millions of millions) of dollars of exchange.

The current distrust of the United States and deteriorating relations with Russia were summed up by White House Security Council spokesman John Kirby. “Eventual ask for a truce in Ukraine it is unacceptable because it would mean ratify territorial gains achieved so far by Russia and give Putin more time,” he said.

He Twelve-point Chinese plan it is not considered by Westerners to be a real peace plan. The White House dismissed it as “an attempt to stabilize the aggressor’s territorial gains and give him time to regroup on the battlefields.”

US hegemony in the world has received an unexpected blow to its status, with the announcement that Iran and Saudi Arabia have agreed to restore their relations diplomatic negotiations with the mediation of China.

Putin also added fuel to the fire by stating that “Russia and China are fighting common threats” and confirming that “our relations continue to strengthen and are at the highest point in their history. Economic reports are expected to exceed $200 billion this year.”

These claims away the illusions that Xi Jinping’s visit will lead to effective mediation.

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