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Were expectations of a U.S. interest rate cut excessive? KOSPI falls below 2,500 points due to institutional ’80’

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Employees are working in the dealing room of Hana Bank in Jung-gu, Seoul on the morning of the 5th. On this day, the KOSPI index collapsed below the 2,500 mark in 6 trading days due to the weak New York stock market. 2023.12.5/News 1

The domestic stock market closed lower amid ‘selling’ by institutions. In about a week, KOSPI gave up 2,500 points and KOSDAQ gave up 820 points. The U.S. stock market, which rallied last weekend on expectations that the Federal Reserve would soon cut interest rates, fell in the aftermath as some pointed out that expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut were somewhat hasty.

On the 5th, KOSPI recorded 2494.28, down 20.67 points (0.82%) from the previous day.

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KOSPI, which closed 0.40% higher the previous day, fell today and fell below the 2500 level. Based on the closing price, it has been about a week since the 27th of last month that KOSPI fell below the 2,500 mark.

Institutions alone led the decline in the index by releasing large quantities of stock. On this day, institutions made net sales of 172.1 billion won. On the other hand, foreigners and individuals came forward to ‘lion’. It was calculated that foreigners made net purchases of 28.8 billion won and individuals made net purchases of 148.3 billion won.

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Last night, the U.S. stock market closed lower due to the recent influx of cautionary selling on aggressive interest rate cut bets ahead of this week’s employment data release, rising Treasury yields and a strong dollar. On the 4th (local time) in the New York stock market, the Dow fell 0.11%, the S&P 500 fell 0.54%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.84%.

The Fed’s future interest rate actions are expected to become clearer when the Labor Department’s employment report for last month is released this weekend. If the labor market remains strong, the possibility of an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve is greatly reduced, but if the labor market has significantly deteriorated, the theory of an early interest rate cut may gain momentum again.

In particular, large technology stocks led the decline. Apple fell 0.95%, Microsoft (MS) fell 1.43%, and Amazon fell 1.49%. Electric vehicles fell all at once, with Tesla falling more than 1%, excluding Lucid.

Semiconductor stocks also fell, with Nvidia plummeting nearly 3% on the news that Nvidia executives sold a large amount of stock and realized profits. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index also fell more than 1%.

Among the top 10 stocks in KOSPI market capitalization, NAVER (035420) rose 1.19% and Samsung BioLogics (207940) rose 0.42%. SK Hynix (000660) -3.97%, POSCO Holdings (005490) -3.05%, Samsung Electronics (005930) -1.93%, Samsung Electronics (005935) -1.7%, LG Chem (051910) -0.42%, Hyundai Motor Company (005380) – It fell by 0.11%.

Kyeong-min Lee, a researcher at Daishin Securities, said, “The perception that expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, which had been the driving force of the stock market until recently, were somewhat excessive led to a rebound in U.S. bond yields and the dollar overnight,” adding, “As the burden of overheating continues, the domestic stock market is also starting to increase volatility.” analyzed.

KOSDAQ closed at 813.38, down 15.14 points (-1.83%) from the previous day.

KOSDAQ, which opened the day with a 0.56% decline, increased its intraday decline and dropped to the 820 mark. It has been a week since the 28th of last month that the KOSDAQ index fell below the 820 mark based on the closing price.

In the KOSDAQ market, an institution alone submitted a quantity. Institutions sold net 146.7 billion won. On the other hand, individuals net bought 61.3 billion won and foreigners net bought 104.5 billion won.

Among the top 10 KOSDAQ market capitalization stocks, HLB (028300) rose 0.3%, Celltrion Healthcare (091990) 0.28%, and Celltrion Pharmaceutical (068760) 0.13%. HPSP (403870) -5.29%, Alteogen (96170) -5.1%, Ecopro BM (247540) -4.49%, POSCO DX (022100) -4.0%, L&F (066970) -2.23%, Ecopro (086520) -1.35 %, JYP Ent. (035900) -0.76%, etc. fell.

On this day, the dollar-won exchange rate in the Seoul foreign exchange market closed at 1311.2 won, up 7.2 won from the previous day.

Source: Donga

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