Haley emerges as anti-Trump rallying horse
Approval ratings in New Hampshire, the second primary district, soar.
Trump ahead of ‘likable candidate’ survey
Trump focuses on Biden rather than primary race
Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley is making strides and solidifying her position as a ‘rival’ in the U.S. Republican Party’s presidential candidate primary, which was dominated by former U.S. President Donald Trump. Former Ambassador Haley is pursuing former President Trump by digging into the votes of centrist voters in New Hampshire, the second primary primary for the Republican Party early next year and where support for the ruling Democratic Party is strong. There is an analysis that former President Trump’s harsh words that caused recent controversy, such as “If he returns to power, he will be dictatorial on the first day” and “Immigrants pollute the blood of America,” are also working to former Ambassador Haley’s advantage.
Former President Trump is still confident of a landslide victory and is sticking to his strategy of focusing on a ‘rematch’ with President Joe Biden. In fact, a recent poll by Bloomberg and Morning Consult found that third-zone candidates who have declared or are considering running for president are eroding President Biden’s votes more than former President Trump.
According to the results of a public opinion poll released by CBS Broadcasting on the 17th, in the northeastern state of New Hampshire, where the Republican Party’s second primary will be held on January 23 next year, former Ambassador Haley received 29% of support, beating former President Trump (44%) by 15 percentage points. I followed up with the car. In a survey conducted here by the Washington Post from the 9th to the 14th of last month, former Ambassador Haley (18%) was behind former President Trump (46%) by 28 percentage points. The gap was narrowed significantly in about a month.
In particular, former Ambassador Haley received 55% support in the question asking who was a ‘likable candidate’, comfortably surpassing former President Trump (36%). In the ‘reasonable candidate’ category, it was 51%, also ahead of former President Trump (36%).
In New Hampshire’s primary election, not only Republicans but also unaffiliated voters can vote. It serves as a ‘presidential election weather vane’ as it is suitable for evaluating the competitiveness of specific candidates in the presidential election (main election) next November. In addition, it has the effect of condensing the meaningful second or third best among the runners and confirming the structure of the primary. New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu, a leading anti-Trump figure in the Republican Party, also recently declared support for former Ambassador Haley.
However, in a CBS survey, in central Iowa, where the Republican Party’s first presidential primary will be held on the 15th of the same month, former Ambassador Haley’s approval rating was only 13%, far behind former President Trump (58%). The Iowa primary is held in the form of a ‘caucus’ in which only Republicans can participate, giving former President Trump an advantage.
Former Ambassador Haley’s eyes are set on the South Carolina primary election on February 23 next year. Former Ambassador Haley was born and raised here, and in 2011, at the age of 39, she became the youngest governor in U.S. history. She also set the record as South Carolina’s first female governor. After proving her competitiveness in the main election in New Hampshire, she plans to overthrow the ‘Trump theory’ through her victory in her home state.
Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United NationsFormer President Trump held a campaign event in western Nevada on the 17th. This is an area with the highest proportion of Hispanics among the major Republican primary districts. It is interpreted as a strategy to show its advantage in the general election against President Biden by focusing on Hispanic voters, who traditionally have strong support for the Democratic Party.
President Biden, who is currently at a close disadvantage in a virtual bilateral confrontation with former President Trump, is on alert to crack down on his support base. According to a recent poll by Bloomberg-Morning Consult, 41% of voters who chose President Biden in the 2020 presidential election responded, “They are likely to consider voting for a third candidate (rather than President Biden).” On the other hand, only 35% of voters who chose former President Trump said they were “considering supporting a third candidate.” Bloomberg diagnosed on the 17th that the third candidate is emerging as a significant obstacle to mobilizing President Biden’s support base, especially young voters.
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Source: Donga
Mark Jones is a world traveler and journalist for News Rebeat. With a curious mind and a love of adventure, Mark brings a unique perspective to the latest global events and provides in-depth and thought-provoking coverage of the world at large.