Former President Donald Trump is about to seal his candidacy to compete for the White Housein the Republican primaries this Tuesday in New Hampshire, where according to all polls he will defeat the last competitor who is still with him in the race.
A resounding victory for the tycoon It will leave the former and more moderate governor Nikki Haley practically without a chance, which could come out after the campaign and so Trump would have all the time and money to focus on his main enemy: President Joe Biden.
Analysts agree that if Trump wins decisively, as everything indicates so far, the Republican race would already be almost over: Haley, former governor of South Carolina and former ambassador to the United Nations, would not be able to make a comeback in the next primaries .
For months now, Trump has a lead of more than 50 points in polls among Republicans nationwide. His victory last Monday in Iowa saw him improve further in the general polls with some now putting him with more than 70% of the vote. In recent days he has obtained various approvals from party leaders, who have consolidated behind the favourite.
And Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’ decision on Sunday to abandon the primary campaign after a lackluster second-place finish in Iowa and with no prospect of victory was a big boost.
DeSantis gave his explicit support to Trump: “It’s clear to me that the majority of Republican primary voters want to give Donald Trump another chance,” he said. And she criticized the candidate remaining in the race: “We cannot return to the old guard Republicans of the past or to a repackaged form of overheated corporatism that Nikki Haley represents,” she said.
Nationally, polls are not in Haley’s favor among Republicans. Trump leads it by more than 30 points. But New Hampshire is the only state where it could catch upor try to stage an electoral coup to boost his nearly moribund campaign.
In this state the polls show her as the loser, but mcloser to Trump than the rest of the country. According to a Washington Post-Monmouth University poll conducted before DeSantis’ retirement, Trump has 52% among potential voters, compared to the former governor’s 34%.
However, New Hampshire is your chance, perhaps the last bullet, because the composition of the inhabitants benefits her: Haley, daughter of immigrants from India and with more moderate positions than Trump’s, has a better chance in the electorate of this state in the north-east of the country where there are more liberal and college educated, unlike Iowa, which is more rural and conservative.
Even the governor of the state, a moderate Republican, supported Haley and not Trump and, furthermore, in presidential elections, the state usually supports moderate candidates, as happened with John McCain and Mitt Romney. While Trump won by 35% in 2016, moderate establishment candidates combined to amass 49% of the vote.
Moreover, independent voters can participate in primaries and some of them who hate Trump might turn out to vote in Republican elections to hurt him.
If she can’t win in New Hampshire, there’s no reason to think Haley can win anywhere else. He needs the momentum to get to the next appointment in his state, South Carolina, where even the polls are not in his favor. Losing there would have been too much, so he might as well leave early.
That’s why she, who typically avoided harsh attacks on Trump, 77, raised her voice a little more this Monday: “We need a new generation leader”, dHe said in reference to the Republican’s age. He is 52 years old.
The day before, in an interview, he had questioned the former president’s cognitive abilities. “It’s not at the same level as 2016. I think we’re seeing some of that decline. But more than that, what I will say focuses on the fact that whatever happens, chaos follows,” he told CBS, referring to the trials the tycoon faces.
And he continued: “We are not a country of coronations. “Voters deserve to choose whether to continue on the path of Trump and Biden, or take a new conservative path,” he said.
Trump, for his part, attacked his rival by saying that the United States needs him “a strong man” at the White House. She previously called her “not smart enough” and that she didn’t earn voters’ respect. She also falsely suggested that she, as the daughter of immigrants who had not yet become citizens when she was born, is ineligible to run for president. She also mentions her by her given name “Nimrata” (by which she was never known), mockingly misspelled as “Nimbra” to derogatorily highlight her origins.
On the other side of the political spectrum, Democrats will also hold their primary in New Hampshire this Tuesday, But in the official race Biden has practically no resistance and his nomination is taken for granted.
The Republican result in this state could pave the way for Trump to focus on his trials – he is accused of 91 crimes in several cases – and also on competing with Biden in the final presidential election race on November 5.
For now, Biden and Trump are tied in the polls. An average of national polls conducted by RealClearPolitics gives the president 44.3% of the vote against the tycoon’s 47.2%. But the current head of the White House swears that he is the only one to have defeated Trump and that he is the only one who can repeat that event today.
Source: Clarin
Mary Ortiz is a seasoned journalist with a passion for world events. As a writer for News Rebeat, she brings a fresh perspective to the latest global happenings and provides in-depth coverage that offers a deeper understanding of the world around us.