“Fasten your seat belts”: Donald Trump and Joe Biden could seal their nominations this week

President Joe Biden and his likely Republican rival, Donald Trump, are on track to win enough delegates this week to become the presumptive nominees of their matches, starting a tough eight-month campaign for the White House.

Tuesday’s elections in four states They will likely give Biden and Trump the delegates they need to clinch the nominations. Their records are certainly not in doubt after their decisive performances in last week’s Super Tuesday races forced the last major primary challengers to abandon the race.

But for many voters who are not attuned to the daily vicissitudes of the country’s turbulent politics, this week could be a moment of crystallization, confirming that another Biden-Trump campaign is all but guaranteed, whether Americans want it or not. And this revenge, the first in an American presidential election since 1956, is about to get worse. deep political and cultural divisions.

This is what we are seeing:

Will Trump get the nomination?

This Tuesday should be a wake-up call to those who still doubt Trump, who faces 91 felony charges in four criminal cases, will represent the Republican Party in this fall’s general election.

The former president is on track to get enough delegates become the presumptive presidential nominee of the Republican Party, if he continues to dominate as he did during the primary season. And since there is no significant opposition to the election, there is many reasons to believe that it will.

Until Sunday, Trump was 140 delegates short of the 1,215 needed to win the Republican nomination at the party’s national convention this summer. There are 161 Republican delegates up for grabs Tuesday Georgia, Mississippi, Washington State and Hawaii.

With a good performance on Tuesday, Trump can sweep away all the delegates in Georgia, Mississippi and Washington state. Hawaii awards delegates proportionally so that other candidates can get some, even with a small percentage of the vote.

And what about Biden?

Democrats who didn’t want Biden will apply again will remain disappointed.

Like Trump, Biden is going to get enough delegates become the Democratic Party’s presumptive presidential nominee.

The president arrives on Tuesday with 102 delegates less than the 1,968 needed win the Democratic nomination. There are 254 Democratic delegates in play Tuesday in Georgia, Mississippi and Washington state, as well as races run by the Northern Mariana Islands and Democrats Abroad parties that end that day.

Without major opponents, Biden is on track to reach that goal. But he also faces continued resistance from his party’s left flank which risks obscuring the result.

A group of progressive activists and religious leaders from Georgia and other states are encouraging participants in the Democratic primaries Don’t vote for any presidential candidate. This comes after an “uncommitted” protest vote in Michigan recently yielded two delegates.

The symbolic protest is intended to be a warning about Biden’s re-election Of his support for Israel’s war against Hamas in Gaza.

While Biden’s campaign team says they are not worried, Pres You have to unite your party behind his candidacy if he hopes to defeat Trump in November.

After a fiery State of the Union address that he said brought in a staggering $10 million in donations in just 24 hours, Biden has a chance to generate new momentum with a strong performance on Tuesday.

Georgia, A fluctuating state trace

In recent years, Georgia has become in a major swing state (swinging state) from the country. And both candidates they are eager to perform well and show its organizational strength in what it does in practice It’s a dress rehearsal for the presidential elections of November, much more transcendental.

The state was a key battlefield in 2020, so close that Trump is indicted there for his efforts to “find 11,780 votes” and overturn Biden’s victory.

Both candidates they made Georgia a priority in the days before Tuesday’s primaries. But they delivered very different messages during a duel of campaign events over the weekend.

Trump’s Saturday rally began with a message asking attendees to do so They will support people serving sentences in prison for his role in the Jan. 6 Capitol insurrection.

Then, the former president appeared with the MAGA Republican representative from GeorgiaMarjorie Taylor Greene, who he called “courageous” for telling off Biden during his State of the Union address. Trump also highlighted the private meeting with him the night before Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor OrbánWho He hindered democracy in his country.

Biden, working to energize his coalition of voters of color, young people and suburbanites, has drawn attention to Trump’s controversial partners and his support for the far right.

“Our freedoms will literally be voted on in November,” he said.

Is this competition about to change?

With both candidates eligible to run, the United States is about to formally move beyond the primary election stage. at the general election stage of the 2024 elections.

But it’s fair to say We don’t know exactly what it will be like..

Typically, at this time, candidates they change their message address a broader group of voters, especially moderate and independent who have a more influential role in the general election than the base of hardcore voters who decide the primaries.

But if this weekend is any indication, Trump shows little interest -or capacity- in adopting a more inclusive or moderate tone. He continues to falsely insist that the 2020 election was stolen from him and to praise those who stormed the Capitol on one of the darkest days in modern American history.

We will pay close attention to the tone of your official response (yeah your social media posts) after getting the nomination.

On the Democratic side, we’re about to find out whether the Biden coalition will change its view of the race when it becomes clear this election it’s now a binary choice between Biden and Trump. Biden’s campaign team is betting big on this.

On the eve of Tuesday’s primaries, the Democratic president presented a new campaign advert as part of the an investment of 30 million dollars in battleground states where he is portrayed as more effective than Trump, despite concerns about Biden’s age.`

trump it will not be easy to Biden. A super PAC supporting Trump released a new ad asking: “If Biden wins, will he be able to survive until 2029?”

Fasten your seat belt. The next eight months could be turbulent.

Translation: Elisa Carnelli