The “million dollar” question that comes to mind right now is: Will there be a coup?
In the past, after the democratic revival in 1985, this was a joke. No one even anticipated the possibility.
Today, though remote, it is a possibility that should be considered. Sad!
The greatest legacy of the Bolsonaro government: having created a tangible threat of a military coup in Brazil.
However, the coup cannot take place without the consent of a significant part of the society, active participation in the conspiracy and the majority of the Armed Forces.
This is not happening today.
While we know that about 20% of Brazilians will celebrate an autocratic right-wing regime, most reject it and 20% are able to send stimuli via social networks, but they do not penetrate the rest of society as they did in 1964. , with broad middle-class support. Thanks to God and us who are Democrats.
Another thing, there would be no right-wing coup in South America without active US involvement. Americans today are not aligned with Bolsonaro, and the specter of communism, which does not exist in Brazil, does not haunt them. Uncle Sam is out. Bolsonaro, Putin’s ally, desperately calls Joe Biden, whom he refuses to greet after receiving a yellow card. Uncle Sam doesn’t want contentious adventures.
There will be no coup d’etat in elections. They will replace each other on October 2.
The problem will come later, just like Marco Maciel’s conclusions.
If Lula wins in the first round, it will be narrowly and the situation will only get worse.
The conflict that Bolsonaro has armed with a careful conspiracy for years will come to light on the very night of the investigation. The atmosphere soon heats up and these violent street demonstrations begin to take the form.
American revolts.
If Lula wins in the second round, which will be by a larger margin, protests will emerge slowly but increasingly. To prevent graduation.
Lula’s supporters will react as we are in a miserably divided country, and the outcome is uncertain, but in any case indigestible.
At the end of this drama, which risks becoming a tragedy, I optimistically think there will be no institutional disruption.
However, we will face a terrible climate that will extend until 2023, and together with the fragmented Union Budget and other components of the economy, it will give us a very difficult year and prevent us from realizing the reforms we have made. need. And that it would be legal to wait after the elections.
The financial market will shake.
At least we would have had more disappointment and dystopia. Best not to think about it.
We are at a terrible crossroads.
One of the ways is sheer barbarism, which we know will not be saved.
If Bolsonaro wins, he will feel supported by the public despite everything he has done. For the first time, many did not know who they were voting for. I voted against PT. Not now.
Let’s get worse than Viktor Orbán.
The other, despite having a democratic and social vision, respecting civilizing norms, adorned with a laurel wreath of electoral victory, brings with it the high probability of disturbing and even frightening behavioral setbacks.
Lula and PT, egocentric narcissists, will not understand that they won by rejecting Bolsonaro, but triumphed by their supposed virtues attributed to them. There will be a reign of arrogance and arrogance.
The “Liberators of the Fatherland” will don the mantle of Sebastião I at Alcácer-Quibir and seek to take root in Brazil as the faith spread across the Brazilian northeast.
If you run, the animal will catch it, if it stays, the animal will eat it.
The probability of Brazil being included in the hegemony is 99%. Both are autocratic, one much worse than the other. But it’s also unhealthy.
Living will become more dangerous than Guimarães Rosa warned.
What should we do? , that’s the question.
Without luck, you wouldn’t even be able to eat a Chicabom, choke on a toothpick, or get run over by a car, Nelson Rodrigues warned.
First we need luck.
But it is important to know that this is not accidental and that we pay for our sins. Acknowledging the immoral inequality that surrounds us, accepting partisan asylum seekers who allow us to elect representatives they do not represent, having a selfish elite that contributes to the intellectual scarcity of ambitious for privileges.
We actually have institutions, but they are not functioning satisfactorily. They work “more or less” like pretty much everything else in Future Country.
Result: Lulismo and Bolsonarismo take over Brazil.
Even “hope” is giving up hope and starting to get frightened, as seen at the launch of the Lula/Alckmin ticket right now. Janja’s gift to her fiancee sounded old-fashioned, like a musty coat that had been pulled out of the wardrobe years later. History repeats itself as bullshit. Despite the enthusiasm of the bride. A battered ode to a battered “hero”.
Bolsonaro is first and foremost Apocalispe Now.
The third (in the survey) Ciro is arrogance in the form of a fight between organized supporters. Moro, clumsy, Doria, reaps reap, Simone Tebet, has more imposition than vote.
It remains only to launch a very organized struggle to eradicate extreme poverty and drastically reduce inequality in Brazil. And pray.
We are punished for our wrongdoings.
But Brazil is great and can survive because there is no evil that will last forever.
source: Noticias