Most Brazilians know the President so well that they know he can trash democracy and institutions cannot stay silent against it.
This isn’t the most impressive piece of data in this section of the latest Datafolha survey, however, in the fact that more than a third of the population still sees it as bullying when they warn that they may no longer comply with court orders or recognize the result. vote. And you’re systematically giving evidence that you’re not joking.
Remembering that there is no need for tanks and soldiers, it is enough for the president to stop bowing to other forces in order to stage a coup.
According to the survey, more than half (56%) say that Jair Bolsonaro’s attacks on the STF and TSE and his threats to the elections should be taken seriously by the country’s institutions. Another 36%, who are more optimistic, say their actions and statements will have no consequences.
The number of Lula voters who consider themselves serious is the same as the number of Bolsonaro voters, that is, 57%. The point is to determine who is concerned about threats and who trusts them.
At the same time, as I warned earlier here based on data from other research institutes, Jair has made up so many lies about the electronic voting machine that if he loses the election he is ready to reap the chaos in the streets in October.
Data for May shows that 73% of respondents trust electronic voting machines, compared to 82% in March. Meanwhile, 24% say they don’t trust, up from 17% two months ago. The margin of error is two points.
Bolsonaro has been campaigning heavily against the electronic voting system and accusing it of fraud, although he has never provided evidence. His behavior, which tries to convince voters that it will be a fraud in October rather than fighting inflation, explains the number of Brazilians who are suspicious of the ballot box.
And the consequences may be more lasting than Bolsonaro’s own tenure. In the United States, then-President Donald Trump attacked the electoral system and accused it of fraud. The distrust placed by the Republican prompted thousands of his followers to invade Congress on January 6, 2021, an action that resulted in five dead and wounded.
Nearly a year later, a poll by the University of Massachusetts Amherst and the YouGov Institute found that 22% of voters believed Joe Biden’s victory was absolutely illegitimate and 11% possibly illegitimate, while 46% believed it was absolutely legitimate and illegitimate. revealed. probably legitimate.
Among Republicans, 71 percent, doubt the legitimacy of Biden’s election. Donald Trump thus managed to cast doubt on his country’s electoral system and shattered one of his oldest institutions among those who voted for him. It has at great cost to the Republic, guaranteeing fertile political terrain to keep its followers and run again in 2024.
Bolsonaro follows the same path. If he attempts an electoral coup by losing the October election (the aforementioned 56% of Brazilians are concerned) he may not succeed, but he will further shatter institutions using the electronic voting machine as a reason not to recognize him. conclusion.
From his perspective, this may help question the legitimacy of another elected president like Lula’s government, or at least make it harder for him to leave, to get his government to mobilize fans to return to Planalto Palace four years later. He was sentenced to a term of imprisonment for various crimes committed before and during his tenure.
source: Noticias