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Spain: the Popular Party is striving for a great victory in Andalusia and can govern without alliance

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Spain: the Popular Party is striving for a great victory in Andalusia and can govern without alliance

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The leader of the PP, Alberto Núñez Feijóo (d), and the president of the Board and candidate for re -election, Juanma Moreno. Photo EFE

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The PP launched the march in Andalusia three weeks before the regional elections. Celebrities can wish a great success, of sufficient magnitude to overwhelm the entire left in the seats alone and re-validate the regional government without having to add Vox, according to a 40 dB survey. for the diary The country of Spain and the Being a Chain.

Elections in the Andalusian region held on June 19after Board president Juanma Moreno (PP), decided to advance the election for several months.

In the previous ones, on December 2, 2018, the collapse of Susana Díaz’s PSOE and the disruption of Vox in the regional Parliament with 12 representatives turned the political map upside down in a community that had always been governed by socialists.

The PSOE, the demoscopic study points to, stalled on its results four years ago, left-wing groups would pay for their division and Citizens would once again be at the forefront of extra-parliamentary irrelevance. Vox confirms its upward line, but it won’t bring much benefit in the face of the spectacular growth of celebrities.

The president of the Andalusian Government, Juanma Moreno, in 2019. Photo EFE

The president of the Andalusian Government, Juanma Moreno, in 2019. Photo EFE

the votes grew

PP, according to the survey, climb to 36.5%, 16 points more than in 2018, almost what the Ciudadanos are losing, which from 18% then would be a little over 3%. The popular will gather 48 seats, 22 more than the outgoing Parliament. That yield should be enough for the PP to govern alone, even if it does not reach an absolute majority of 55 representatives.

The celebrities are more than five parliamentarians across the left, where Vox can only block the re -election of the president Juanma Moreno to join the predictable front of decline in the progressive field.

If the celebrities ended on June 19 this historic change in the great territory the Spaniards left behind in the last four decades, it was largely thanks to the citizen approval inspired by the Board’s management and its president.

According to reports The countryMoreno preferred to lead the autonomous government of 36.5% of those surveyed, while the socialist Juan Espadas did not reach 10%.

The popular candidate was even chosen as the best president by 20% of socialist voters. Until the poll determined that the PP could collect a whopping 10% of the votes previously owned by the PSOE.

The same thing happens with the Government Board assessment. 46% are considered good or very good, a rating that also gives it a fifth of the socialist electorate and 12% of Adelante Andalucía, the left-wing regionalist formation led by Teresa Rodríguez.

The contrast in the image of the central government is resounding: the Executive Pedro Sánchez was approved by only 24% and receives a rejection of more than 45%.

The President of the Government, Pedro Sánchez with a low image in Andalusia.  Photo EFE

The President of the Government, Pedro Sánchez with a low image in Andalusia. Photo EFE

Party or candidate?

Did Andalusia turn right or was it a personal victory of Moreno and his team?

The great influence of the latter can also be seen in the classification of sympathy according to party, where the PSOE is resistant in the first place, with 19.5%. But the PP is almost equal to him and the sum of sympathy for the ideological blocs gives the left an advantage of only three points.

In the political own location of Andalusians, the average is only slightly inclined towards the middle-left (4.82 on a scale where 0 is the extreme left and 10 is the extreme right).

Research 40dB. pointed out that the socialist Espadas could suffer to match the results of Susana Díaz in 2018. Although she will retain her 33 representatives, will give two points, from 28% to 26%.

In previous elections, the Socialists surpassed the PP by eight points and now they are ten below. The PSOE will have room for improvement in the three weeks left for 19-J if it manages to inspire the part of its voters, the most demobilized. Only 64.5% of former socialist voters say they will definitely go to the polls, almost 10 points less than PP believers.

The growth attributed by the survey to Vox is negligible. It rises five points, up 16.5%, and from 12 to 18 seats. Another thing is that his role in politics could melt into the scale of the PP’s eventual success.

Source: Clarin

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