War: Ukraine prepares an army of one million soldiers to recover the South and Russia does everything

Russia goes on three fronts of war in Ukraine, two to the east to complete the occupation of the rich Donbas region and the remainder in South. But she is not satisfied. “The appetite is intact”, writes the New York Times. It is promoting stealth mobilization to compensate for the victims e expand quotas who need more technical and combat quality.

Ukraine, its Defense Minister Olexii Reznikov told the London Sunday Times, it is concentrating a million soldiers to launch an offensive new western weapons in the southern region of the country, to defend the coasts of the Black Sea, recover cities in Russian hands and prevent the conquest of the great port of Odessa by the invading troops.

That is, first release all of yoursr sit at the negotiating table from a position of strength.

bloodiest battles

War it overheats again and if the hypotheses are true they will arise more bloody and destructive battles than in these four and a half months of fighting.

It is also becoming more ferocious the battle for dominance outside Ukraine.

Europe, which before the war bought cheap gas and irresponsibly allowed its dependence on Russian methane to reach 145 billion megawatts a year, is struggling to prevent Russian strangulation from leading Western Europeans to suffer. a freezing winter and an economic recession criticism.

The most difficult case is that of Germany, which needs it in the short time it has left accumulate 90% of reserves of its large consumption to allow its 83 million inhabitants to spend the winter.

Russia he cut off the supplies stating that it is essential to the maintenance of the Gulf Stream pipeline. Also: pressure from Moscow forced Germany to do so negotiate the suspension of sanctions against Russia To allow a large Siemens turbine sent for repairs to Canada back to Germany, and then by the Russians to make the pipeline fully operational.

This episode is traumatic for Germany and the European Union.

Put in smile but the hatred continues to grow and he will not be able to break the rancor of the West, determined to make him pay dearly for these humiliations because the alternative is surrender.

Russia is able to reduce its gas shipments to European countries as rising methane prices offset revenues. Europe is 45% dependent on Russian gas, which doubled the price of the June increase.

Oil does not perform the same. The price has fallen 20% since the beginning of June and this Saturday, in the United States, it was trading at less than one hundred dollars a barrel.

the nuclear threat

The Russians reiterate daily its armored atomic supremacy and his decision to use nuclear weapons. They insist so much that in Western Europe, which has always lived under the North American atomic umbrella offered by the NATO military alliance of 30 countries, the question starts to move.

Manfred Weber, president of the European Conservative Christian Democratic People’s Party, the main political force in the European Union of 27 nations, wrote that “Europe needs a nuclear shield”.

Weber said that “Europe can offer added value to the defense of the continent and must organize a long-term deterrent”.

In Germany, analysts point out that the repeated Russian threat has a specific risk the Kaliningrad enclaveRussian territory without land connection with the motherland, born in 1945 in the distribution of the territories dominated by the Hitler regime, thanks to Stalin’s strategic goal.

Kaliningrad, located between Poland and Lithuania, has three nuclear bases armed with the most terrible and new atomic devices. Russian hypersonic missiles can carry nine thousand kilometers per hour accusations that would destroy Berlin, the capital of Germany, located 530 kilometers away, in a few minutes, and reach other European capitals.

Putin’s verbal demonstrations that “We are only at the beginning” and by promising that “now we will do it for real”, fears increase and risks increase. On the western side, those who believe it the global conflict worsens.

years

The spectacle that will be experienced in winter can affirm the belief that the comparison it goes deep and will last for years.

The European Union locomotive has broken down. Germany is entering a recession. Symbol of this autumn (September-October) will be a ten-storey building in Berlin, already under construction, which has been christened “El Termo”.

It can hold up to 56 million liters of hot water. It will be one of the reserves that will ensure that the inhabitants of the great metropolis will be able to overcome the low temperatures.

In addition, in Germany “hot zones” are being prepared so that citizens who need them can spend, for example, the night with a good temperature, while in homes there are obligations to lower the radiators.

recession for all

The certainty that this winter will be lived the beginning of an economic recession in the West It also appears as a victory for Putinbut the reality is that the western recession it’s bad for Russia.

Also in China but for other reasons: the United States and European countries are the major economic markets for Beijing. The decline in consumption can only harm Chinese interests, which need an open society with free trade to keep moving forward.

In the case of Russia, the prospects They are worse. The gigantic equilibrium favorable to Moscow in trade with Western Europe has another fundamental aspect: thanks to that mountain of foreign currency, Russia could buy from Europe and the United States the sophisticated technological products necessary for its backward industries.

The sanctions block the continuation of trade and the damage seriously affects only the industries that use the machinery and products of advanced Western technology. They also damage the production of weapons that are used for this war but have been very useful for Russian exports, a major world seller of war products.

One example is the Russian auto industry, which he is almost paralyzed because it does not get chips and other elements without which modern cars do not work.

Putin feels stronger but also more threatened. Not only the war, but also the conflict with the West drags on into a gloomy future. Imports from Western Europe fell sharply, but those from China also fell by 38%, although Russian exports to Beijing increased significantly, particularly energy products.

China is cautious it does not violate Western sanctions especially in industries in your country which are owned by the United States and the European Union. Victorious in exports, Russia is gradually starving for imported products which it urgently needs because its industrial apparatus is far behind the formidable technology of Western capitalism.

There is an economic problem in Russia that should not be forgotten. Its production of national wealth equivalent to that of Brazil.

It is behind Germany, Great Britain, France and Italy. It reaches $ 1.6 billion annually. The European Union produces 18 billion, China 13 billion, the United States 21 billion. This is a deadly limit for Putin’s ambitions, which he fails to alleviate by threatening almost daily to use his nuclear weapons. Time runs against him.

Rome, correspondent

ap