The head of the government of Mexico City, favored to succeed López Obrador in the 2024 elections

The head of the government of Mexico City, Claudia Sheinbaum, 60, is increasingly at the top of the preferences of voters, ahead of the 2024 elections, to succeed President Andrés Manuel López Obrador.

This was revealed by two polls published by the Spanish newspaper Village, which grants 12% advantage over Mexican Foreign Minister Marcelo Ebrard62 years old, who for his influence on López Obrador is known in political circles as “the vice president” and the specialized newspaper The financial onewhich gives you five points of difference.

According to the Enkoll firm, which prepared the study for El País and for the local radio W Radio, 82% of Mexicans would vote for a woman for the highest public office in the country within two years.

According to the survey, there is no doubt that the National Regeneration Movement in power (Morena, center left) he will retain power in the next presidential terml, because he is ahead with more than 10 points against the entire opponent’s block, of which there is no certainty that he will compete together.

brunette, favorite

In the competition between the parties, preferences are mostly favorable Brunette with 42%followed by the conservative National Action Party (PAN) with 16% and the Center Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) with 11%.

The other three minority organizations, the Citizens’ Movement (MC, center), the Democratic Revolution Party (PRD, center left) and the Labor Party (PT, left), each share 2% of the potential votes and The Green Party barely represents 1%, but is currently an ally of Morena.

In the opinion analysis, carried out between the 16th and 19th of this month, it is verified that Morena could get 55% of the votesthat is a figure higher than 53% with which López Obrador won in the historic elections of June 2018.

“There is no opposition force with numbers that can launch a direct competition scenario,” indicate the conclusions of this measurement.

Claudia Sheinbaum recently hired the Spanish consultant Antonio Gutiérrez, who would be the “brain” of the strategy that allowed Gustavo Petro to win the presidency of Colombia last June 19th.

the other matches

In a different scenario in which Marcelo Ebrard won in Morena’s internal competition, the El País poll reveals that this party would also win without problems. with a maximum of 63% of the votes against “weak” candidates.“like the vitriolic PAN legislator Lilly Téllez and the popular governor of the western state of Jalisco Enrique Alvaro, of MC.

As for the El Financiero survey, carried out by telephone to 1,000 people between the 12 and 21 years of the president, it also emerges that Morena would win the 2024 elections. but with 52% of the votes, that is one less than in 2018.

On the other hand, in the case of a hypothetical alliance of the opposition bloc, called Va por México, it would get just 35% of the potential votes.

Although according to El Financiero Sheinbaum it fell from 42 to 39% in favorable ratings between July and August, and Ebrard fell by five points, they are far ahead of their competitors in domestic competitionthe leader of the Morena caucus in the Senate Ricardo Monreal and the Minister of the Interior Adán Augusto López.

Monreal would only get 12% of the potential votes, while López would get 10%, according to the consultation. Sheinbaum assured last week that “she will accept the results of Morena’s internal poll to elect the presidential candidate, even if they do not favor her. . ” stating that she “trusts her party”.

The applicants held a sort of “catwalk” a few days ago during the Third Plenary Meeting of Morena at the Chamber of Deputies, in which the most applauded She was indeed the ruler of the most populous city in the country.

Analysts note that López Obrador seems to show a preference for Sheinbaum, who is considered his “dolphin”, while Ebrard, on the other hand, acts as his advisor and envoy for more complex matters, as happened with obtaining the vaccines during the COVID-Pandemic 19. Covid-19.

ANSA agency

PB