New poll consolidates Lula’s lead over Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil: from 44 to 31 percent

The former president of Brazil and candidate of the Workers’ Party, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, has 44% of the voting intentions for the October elections against 31% of the president, Jair Bolsonaro, according to a survey by the Ipec institute hired by the media chain Balloon.

Lula maintained the same score as in the previous survey, while Bolsonaro lost 1%, which falls within the margin of error which is 2 points for plus and minus.

The poll confirmed the polarization between Lula and Bolsonarowhile 49% of respondents said they would never vote for Bolsonaro and 36% said they would never choose Lula da Silva.

The numbers of Ipec were released by the Jornal Nacional of TV Globo on Monday evening, a few hours after the publication of a survey by the FSB agency in which Lula appeared with 42% while Bolsonaro added 34%. The IPEC consulted 2,512 people across the country between 2 and 5 August.

Other

In third place Ciro Gomes of the Democratic Labor Party (PDT, center-left), with 8%, one point more than the previous poll, followed by Simone Tebet, of the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB, conservative) who has 4% . , even one point more than in the previous survey.

If no candidate gets more than 50% of the votes on October 2nd a vote must be contested on the 30th of the same monthwhen Lula would be the winner with 52% versus Bolsonaro’s 36%, according to polls.

The former left-wing ruler improved his score by 2% on a possible second round, while Bolsonaro lost 1

Lula, confident

Lula da Silva on Tuesday expressed her confidence in being elected head of state without the need to play a second roundfor which he should get more than half of the valid votes.

The progressive PT candidate made reference to the possibility of being elected president on October 2 without the need for a second round on October 30, in a message posted on his social media, apparently aimed at attracting the useful vote of those who support other opposition candidates. .

“I don’t have to be ashamed of trying to win in the first round. If the one with 5% (of the will to vote in polls) dreams of reaching 40%, why can’t the one with more than 40% dream of having something more and winning in the first round? president (2003-2010).

the lullaby message it was interpreted as a mention to the voters of Ciro Gomesthe third in the polls (7%), the third most voted candidate in the presidential elections of 2018, candidate for the Democratic Labor Party (PDT) and whose candidacy prevented the former president from gaining the support of all the important progressive forces in Brazil.

“They say that when we dream together we can make dreams come true. I am convinced that if we continue to work as we always have, we can win in the first round,” added the former president, reaffirming his confidence in avoiding the second. round.

Lula defended the useful vote to avoid the second round at a time when polls indicate that this possibility is threatened by the growth of voting intention in candidates seeking to represent a third way amid the current Brazilian electoral polarization.

Until two weeks ago, polls indicated that the progressive leader intended to vote higher than that of all other candidates combined, i.e. that he would have more than half of the useful votes (discounted white and null), which would guarantee be elected without the need for a second round.

But polls published since last week show that, with the growth of third-way candidatesincluding Ciro Gomes, Lula no longer intends to vote higher than the other candidates and would hardly get more than half of the useful votes.

According to press reports, Lula also expressed confidence in being elected in the first round in the meeting he had this Tuesday in Sao Paulo with the leaders of the dozen parties that support his candidacy.

“Twenty days to go. In none of the elections I contested have we had so many chances to resolve everything in the first round as in the current ones. And we don’t have to be ashamed to say it, “Lula said during the meeting.

Source: ANSA and EFE

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