From
George Castro
International analyst
There is a decisive datum on Brazil which directly affects Argentina; and is that with President Lula at the helm, he has launched a world policy aimed at ending the war in Ukraine through a peace process of a political/diplomatic nature.
This is the first time this has happened since then Brazil declared war on the Axis in October 1942.; and with the guidance of Getulio Vargas and Oswaldo Aranha – and with the direct collaboration of President Franklin Delano Roosevelt – he moved Europe to fight the Brazilian Expeditionary Force (FEB) against the Third Reich.
Lula’s initiative has so far shown two maneuvers of high strategic significance: He went to China on April 11 to agree with Xi Jinping the terms of a joint mediation aimed at ending the Ukrainian war; and earlier he sent Celso Amorim – his main foreign policy adviser – to Moscow and Paris to agree with Putin and Macron the terms of a peace process in Ukraine.
The previous week, French President Emmanuel Macron was in China on a state visit, and declared: “Strategic autonomy is Europe’s struggle, and without it, the continent risks falling out of history”.
AND the legacy of General de Gaullewho affirmed in his preaching total autonomy vis-à-vis the superpowers, which meant – then as now – in the first place the United States.
Macron stressed in Beijing: “We don’t want a logic of blocks or clashes”; and then condemn, as it always has, the Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022he underlined the imperative character acquired by the end of the Ukrainian conflict.
“China and France – announce Xi Jinping and Macron – have decided to deploy a global strategic association that promotes a multipolar world”, without domination or hegemony, with obvious reference to the United States.
“This is a new historical phase,” Macron said. “That’s why we need to reinvent a new kind of international order that gives the world peace and stability.”
What makes this huge hope possible is that the United States is now facing another global superpower, China, for the first time since the start of the Cold War in 1948. It has become the second largest economy in the worldand that it is also able to challenge it in the domain of advanced technologies of the Fourth Industrial Revolution (CRI).
“A multipolar world”, in short, is not today a simple claim of Justice without historical scaffolding, but a real possibility, of a political nature, which is in sight.
De Gaulle, after having been the faithful ally of the United States – the only one among the advanced countries – at the height of the Cold War (“Cuban Missile Crisis”/October 1962), four years later without hesitation withdrew France from the NATO integrated command , arguing that he intended “to resume the exercise of sovereignty over all French territory in order to dispose of all its military instruments”. he did it because warned that the Cold War was historically over, and that an era was approaching – “detente” – which would open up immense freedom of action for France and the world; and freedom of action was synonymous with strategic autonomy. So Macron’s exhortation to Beijing is the “Gaullianism” of the time.
Ukrainian war experiences a situation of complete strategic impasse, and has become a long-term conflict, of a protracted nature, which makes a military solution impossible, in which the United States and NATO face each other, on the one hand, and Russia on the other; and in which Ukrainian forces often play a heroic but merely operational role, entirely subordinated to the strategic decisions of the Pentagon.
The goal of the United States in this war is to destroy the military power of Russia, irreversibly changing its international status as a great power. Peace, therefore, is not an American goal, because it requires the protracted nature of warfare as a condition for its core strategy to be effective.
It is in these terms that President Lula traveled to China, and it is what gives this journey its authentic historical dimension, similar in importance to the Getulio Vargas initiative of 1942.
Finally, it must be said unequivocally that Argentina’s international insertion is based on the strategic alliance with Brazilwhich means that now Argentina has become an inseparable part of world politics, which engages the current government, the next and the next.
Right now, the big three countries that try to mediate ending the war in Ukraine are China, France and Brazil; and through him, and according to him, Argentina too is part of this global game, which is the great politics of the time.
This is what happened in China last week with the presence of President Lula, four days after the arrival of the current president of the French Fifth Republic, Emmanuel Macron.
This It is a great historical moment for Braziland also, consequently, for Argentina.
Source: Clarin
