From

George Castro

International analyst

Seven out of 10 Americans believe the course of the country is wrong and 65% of Americans believe that President Joe Biden should not run for re-election; and of them 51% are Democrats, e there are no polls to indicate they would not prefer a younger candidate compared to the current president.

There is an essential strategic fact to remember regarding Biden’s re-election, and that is that his running candidate, Vice President Kamala Harris, has lower popularity and acceptance rates than the current head of the White House.

A very remarkable fact is that in the message in which he proclaims his candidacy for re-election, Biden does not propose any government program for a second term, and there’s no mention of the $6 trillion his administration and the Democrat-controlled Congress in Washington have spent on the pandemic to keep the U.S. economy going.

Furthermore, there is not the slightest reference to the Ukrainian war in which the United States provided the Kiev government with over $2.6 billion to deal with the Russian invasion of February 24, 2022; or bidding with China that Biden made the main spoke of his first term; and to which he intended, together with the Democrats, more than $56,000 million to develop the largest industrial policy exercise in North American historycomparable only to Franklin Delano Roosevelt’s New Deal, or the extraordinary mobilization of resources of World War II.

None of these momentous facts are used by Biden when proclaiming his bid for re-election.

There is only one theme obsessively present, absolutely exclusive to any other, and that is it Biden says he is the only man in the US who represents a viable alternative to Donald Trump’s victorious return to the White House.

It’s all about Trump and Joe Biden’s No. 1 anti-Trump status. There is no “Plan B”, nor any option for this visceral dilemma.

Biden’s strategy puts everything at stake (including the fate of the US in the world), and this is the incredible thing it has virtually unanimous support from the Democratsas well as the fervent and combative support of the vast majority of the American media.

For his part, Donald Trump’s situation is as follows: he has the support of 56% of all Republican voters, while his main contender Ron DeSantis, governor of Florida, obtains the support of 22%; and out of 15 Republican Florida State Representatives, 10 support Trump and 3 DeSantis; and the former president raised $11 million in the 3 days after he was indicted by a federal judge in Manhattan.

All this happens when the polarization and internal confrontation in the US is so extreme which have practically crushed the extraordinary (“exceptional”) national consensus, which has always been the central force in American history, especially in crisis situations.

There is a virtual “civil war” going on in the United States right now, using the term in a loosely metaphorical sense given the events of January 6, 2021 at the Capitol in Washington.

The Biden administration’s crucial role in the war in Ukraine necessarily made it a central theme of the 2024 presidential campaign; and the Republicans bear full responsibility for Biden in the event of disruption of Ukrainian events, which is very likely given the strategic stalemate of the conflict which has turned into a protracted and long-term war.

For his part, Trump argues with his characteristic hyperbole that defeating Biden in 2024 is the only thing that “…can avert a Third World War of a necessarily nuclear nature”; and so pledges to end the Ukrainian war within 24 hours and deals with China through direct dialogue with his “friend”, President Xi Jinping.

The ferocious Anti-Trump phobia that Biden, the Democrats and the powers that be in the USA have, cannot hide the fact that in the next two years of the electoral campaign, the figure who wields political power in the USA, and for this reason will be at the center of events and world attention, it won’t be Donald Trump, but Joe Biden.

All this happens, paradoxically, while The USA is unequivocally the first power of the capitalist system in its phase of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, above China.

There is no “decline” in American civilization. What happens is a political crisis of historic gravitythe most serious since the civil war of 1861/1865, in a moment of vertiginous global change, where the axis of power in the world shifts towards Asia, and above all towards China.

As the post-hegemonic stage of the United States approaches, the United States will continue to be the first country in the capitalist system, only this will happen in a global society fully integrated by the technological revolutionwhose legitimacy is based on a dialogue between civilizations, above all the American and Chinese ones, with their 5,000-year history.