Push forward. An Airbus A350-1000 j exhibited last year at the Zhuhai Aerospace Exhibition in China.
China agreed to buy a package of 292 aircraft for Airbusthe largest European aviation company, and the second in the world after the American Boeing, for a value of 37,000 million dollars, in a business that will last from 2023 to 2027.
To respond to this agreement, Airbus will increase aircraft production by more than 50% to 75 per month in 2025. This will allow it to establish itself over rival Boeing as a the largest aircraft manufacturing company around the world, consolidating the performance of the last 3 years.
Seattle’s Boeing “Research Center” indicates that the People’s Republic aircraft demand would be worth US $ 1.4 trillion over the next 20 years, which would be achieved through a purchase of 8,700 new units in the period 2021/2040.
More than 70% of the Chinese commercial aviation market in the next 2 decades will be characterized by being the result of continuous expansion and only 30% will be destined to supplant obsolete units.
Therefore, it is accompanied by a huge development of commercial and logistic aviation services, with equipment estimated at 1.8 billion dollars.
There is an essential strategic fact in the continued expansion of this gigantic market, and it is this 44% of the total number of new aircraft will correspond to international flights and freight transport.
Chinese President Xi Jinping, also general secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China (CCP) and chairman of the Central Military Commission, at the opening ceremony of Beijing’s Daxing International Airport.
Therefore, the “China Aviation Commercial Corporation” (COMAC) predicts that the People’s Republic’s air fleet will reach 9,084 passenger units in 2040, which it would represent 22% of the world totalat that point it became the world market for commercial aviation, worth 1.4 trillion dollars.
COMAC also points out that the global civil aviation industry will fully recover from the effects of the pandemic in 2023, with an annual increase of 3.9% over the next 20 years, which would be 5.5% annually in the Dominican Republic. which implies the achievement of 19.100 million passengers per kilometer traveled (flown) in 2040, with the addition that of that total, 65% will occur in China.
In the increase in Chinese international air traffic, it should be taken into account that 54.3% of the total takes place in the Asia-Pacific area, while Europe and the United States play an important but subsidiary role of only 20% and 15% respectively. .
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The Asia-Pacific region accounts for 60% of global economic growth; and there, with an axis in China, there is the largest source of investment in the capitalist system of the 21st century, above the United States and Europe.
The calculation made by the IATA (International Air Transport Association) is as follows: China’s domestic air transport market will overtake intra-European traffic by 2030and will exceed North American (US / Canada / Mexico) airfares in 2040; and is set to double in the next 10 years.
Most of the planes that Airbus has sold to China it will be produced in its factories in the People’s Republicespecially in Tianjin, the main one, which is almost completely automated.
It has produced more than 600 A320 aircraft and a similar number of the A321 type, which is the largest unit it produces and its main sales product in the world.
Now the assembly of the A350 aircraft has begun in Tianjin, intended for freight transport, and whose expansion is clearly linked to the transnational production system, which constitutes over 60% of the exports of the People’s Republic, which is the largest manufacturing exporter in the world. , and the privileged sector in which the Fourth Industrial Revolution (CRI) takes place.
Airbus try now diversify its production in the People’s Republicin addition to aircraft manufacturing, and has established agreements with Chinese high-tech companies for the development of highly cohesive plant fibers capable of replacing steel / aluminum coupling as basic materials in aircraft construction.
“High-tech” agreements are also underway in artificial intelligence and the Internet of Things to qualitatively increase the degree of automation / autonomization of next generation aircraft.
The curious thing is that the agreement for the sale of Airbus aircraft to China took place in the same week in which the NATO (Western Alliance), made up of 30 European countries and the USA, decided considers the People’s Republic to be its main “strategic rival” in the 21st centurywhat happened at the Madrid meeting led by US President Joe Biden.
what this indicates the enormous delay in political / strategic / security thinkingstill essentially military, Europe and the USA with respect to the globalization process absolutely integrated by the instantaneous revolution of technology.
But in strategic terms, one of the few certainties is that reality always prevails because it is full of meaning and reason.
This is what happens with the historical role of the People’s Republic, the “Middle Empire” of the 21st century, in the context of a technological and scientific revolution of an unprecedented scale in the history of capitalism.
Reality is always right, and that is why it is inexorably imposed.
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