Estudiantes-Boca: what a result suits Racing and the other three fighting in the League Cup

This afternoon at the UN Stadium, from 7.30pm, Students of La Plata AND Mouth They will face each other to complete the remaining 62 minutes of the match corresponding to date 11 of League Cup. It is a match that not only becomes fundamental for its protagonists, direct rivals in the fight for qualification to the quarterfinals of the tournament, but also has an impact on each team fighting at the top of the table. Zone Btaking into account that it is contested in the days preceding the closure of the regular phase.

There are four other teams involved who will follow the result closely: Lanus, Defense and Justice, Racing AND Newell’s. The variations calculator appears and a fundamental question: what is best for each person to increase their chances of making the Top 4? Do you support Boca, Estudiantes or is a draw better?

Zone B of the League Cup is tighter than ever. The only one who already looks at everyone relaxed is Godoy Cruz, who has secured first place with his unattainable 29 points, a few days before the last appointment which will see him play at the Bombonera.

They appear behind the Tomb six teams with chances, separated by just two points in the standings. Of them, only three will reach the goal: Lanus has 23 points; Defense and Justice23; Mouth, 22; Racing, Students AND Newell’s They close with 21.

The most important thing about this afternoon’s match is that Boca could define its destiny. Both depend on themselves, but Xeneize already knows that if they beat Pincha they will automatically qualify for the playoffs, regardless of what happens on Tuesday when they host Godoy Cruz. That is, Diego Martínez’s team needs a win in both matches, so a draw in La Plata would not represent any additional advantage.

For their part, those led by Domínguez could make a few more hypotheses in case the duel against the Boquenses maintains parity. The fact is that, even if the victory would mean a big rise in the standings, obtaining a point is still precious because it will allow them to break away from Racing and Newell’s, and complete the feat with a victory on the Lanús pitch.

Beyond futurology with the protagonists of the clash at 1 and 57, the other four direct rivals prepare the calculator, try variations and cross their fingers waiting for the result they like best. In principle, it would be a victory for Boca.

Estudiantes-Boca: what is best for Lanús

After losing away against Racing and wasting a match point to access the playoffs, Grana will have a new opportunity on Tuesday when they host Estudiantes on the pitch. What happens between Pincha and Boca, however, could change the prospects of the match.

• If Estudiantes beats Boca, Lanús will comeback against those led by Eduardo Domínguez, who will beat them by one point, so they will have to get the victory against a rival who could imagine a draw. A draw with Pincha would force them to wait for two of these three scenarios to occur: that Boca doesn’t win, that the Defense doesn’t win and that Racing doesn’t win.
• If Estudiantes and Boca draw, Lanús will host Pincha knowing that if they win they will go to the quarterfinals and that a draw could also put them in. To do this, two of these three scenarios will have to occur: that Boca loses or that Defense or Racing do not win. A defeat, logically, would leave him out.
• If Boca beat Estudiantes, Lanús would need more “logical” results. They would advance to the quarterfinals by beating Pincha, logically, and in the event of a draw it would be enough to hope that Defensa or Racing don’t win. Defeat would automatically leave him out.

Estudiantes-Boca: what is best for the Defense

Varela’s team is on the same line as Lanús but with a significantly lower goal difference than Grana (+3 versus +7 respectively), a fundamental factor in the event of a tie on points. Which makes him run from behind in this dizzying race to access the League Cup playoffs. In the last match they host Newell’s, the busiest of all when it comes to points and goals. Everything will vary based on what happens between Estudiantes and Boca a La Plata.

• If Estudiantes beat Boca, the Defense would finish fourth in the final match. If you defeat Leprosy, you qualify. If they draw, they will need Boca not to beat Godoy Cruz and Racing not to do the same to Belgrano in Córdoba. If he loses he will be eliminated because Rosario’s team would beat him, regardless of the other results.
• If Estudiantes and Boca drew, the Defense would also be fourth but in this case they would be overtaken by Xeneize (they have a better goal difference). In that case, if he beats Newell’s, he passes the stage independently of the others. If they draw, they will need Boca to lose and Racing not to win. A defeat leaves him out.
• If Boca beat Estudiantes, Halcón would also advance with a win against Newell’s, and in the event of a draw they will have to ensure that Racing does not win in the final. A defeat against Leprosy would leave him out.

Estudiantes-Boca: what is best for Racing

The Academy is clear that it must win the last away match in Belgrano, even if it doesn’t depend on itself to reach the playoffs. Naturally, what happens this afternoon at the Estudiantes stadium will have a huge impact.

• If Estudiantes beats Boca, Racing will need two more results on Tuesday: that Boca doesn’t beat Godoy Cruz in La Bombonera and that Defensa doesn’t do the same to Newell’s in Varela. In this case, Lanús or Pincha will play for a place in the direct clash.
• If Estudiantes and Boca draw, the Academy will require that two of these three alternatives are satisfied: a draw in Lanús vs Estudiantes, that Boca does not beat Godoy Cruz and/or that Defensa does not beat Newell’s.
• Finally, if Boca wins in La Plata, Gustavo Costas’ men only need one scenario, that is, that Lanús or Defensa do not win in the last match, when they play at home against their direct rivals.

Estudiantes-Boca: what is best for Newell’s

Leprosy’s defeat against Boca in Rosario left him in a terrible position ahead of the final match. However, his complex situation will vary depending on what happens this afternoon on 1:57 between Xeneize and Pincha. Leprosy have to beat Defensa in Varela and then do several caroms.

• If Estudiantes beats Boca, it will be necessary for Newell’s to win and Boca and Racing will not win in the last, whatever happens in the duel between Lanús and Pincha.
• If Estudiantes and Boca draw, Newell’s will have to win and hope that in the final Boca loses and Racing doesn’t win, because the other classified players will come from Lanús and Pincha.
• If Boca beats Estudiantes, Newell will have to win and hope that Racing doesn’t win.