The numbers of the fine remain to be defined, but the Republican victory was tighter than polls predicted and they themselves waited.
The opposition dreamed of a strong majority in both houses that could paralyze Joe Biden’s government in the last period of his term, repeal some laws passed by the Democratic majority, and even launch an impeachment against the president for the chaotic withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan and for the management of the pandemic.
But beyond the final results, there was no outburst of opposition and Biden came out less beaten than he should have, with which you will be able to overcome the challenges that will come with more strength. The world has been watching these elections closely.
In the international arena, a clear republican victory could have had a strong impact, especially to help Ukraine in the war. Many opponents question the huge sums of money being given to that country at a time when Americans are suffering from high inflation and expensive fuel.
No “red wave”
This was stated by Diego Abente Bun, professor of international relations at George Washington University Clarione that “the announced and predicted red wave has not occurred and this will be clearly perceived throughout the world”.
The expert stressed that the result “impact on the war in Ukraine “ since “Biden’s position has been strengthened because the republican opposition will not be able to get more support” in its attempts to stop aid to that country.
Europe and NATO also breathe a sigh of relief because the leader of the offensive against Ukraine will not suffer strong internal attacks and will be able to carry out his plans. President Vladimir Putin, with cordial ties to former President Donald Trump, he could have had more possibilities of approach and this is not the case with Biden, who even described him as a “killer”.
In short, the Kremlin said after the elections that bilateral relations will continue to be “bad”.
This was stated by Mark Cancian, senior consultant of the International Security Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies Clarione “I don’t think military aid to Ukraine will change even if the Republicans take control of one or both houses of Congress.”
“However, there is likely to be some resistance to economic aid to the Ukrainian government on the basis of both the progressive left and the populist right, which financial support needed at home. As a result, there may be cuts in financial aid. I also hope there will be more interest in tracking spending, “she added.
As for China, Abente Bun believes that now “there will be no substantial changes”. The bilateral link was especially tense with the trip of the Democratic leader of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, to Taiwan. After the elections, Beijing limited itself to saying that the results “are a matter within the United States”.
Another major global impact is that it will now be harder for Republicans to gain broad consensus to repeal one of Biden’s great successes, the “Inflation Reduction Act”. with 370,000 million dollars reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 40% by 2030.
The region
No Republican – many of them consider climate change an invention – voted in favor of that law because, according to them, it does not reduce inflation or ensure the country’s energy future. Biden will be able to continue to raise the flag of the global climate, one of the axes of his mandate.
Regarding Latin America, Abente Bun said that Biden “will continue with his good relationship with Lulaas both winners (Lula) or better positioned (Biden) in scenarios equally divided into two countries as big as a continent ”.
Furthermore, it risks that the Biden government may now have room for maneuver to “explore possible negotiations with the regime of Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela ”.
With a big victory for the opposition, aim for Clarione Luis Jiménez, professor of political science at the University of Massachusetts, “any initiative that needed the money could have been hit. Ukraine is the most obvious, but in the case of Latin America it is possible that there would have been changes in terms of financial aid to Central America and certainly as regards the funds linked to any policy relating to migration and refugees or humanitarian aid in general.
“With Republican domination in the lower house, there could be changes in Venezuela,” he says.
“In recent months there seemed to be some opening between the White House and the Maduro regime, in part because Biden apparently wanted greater access to Venezuelan oil (which of course was also convenient for Venezuela). But with a Republican Congress, the pressure against the Maduro regime will increase and perhaps Biden no longer has the incentives for some sort of opening up with Venezuela (however slight it has been so far), “Jiménez said.
PB
Source: Clarin
