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Haley targets Trump-supporting rednecks… All-out effort in Iowa, the first primary next month

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Unlike New Hampshire, which has many high-income and middle-income
Iowa Sun falls behind DeSantis
Visiting 100,000 households… After asking for support
Trump’s trial continues since the beginning of the year… “Haley’s sensation is fake news”

Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, whose approval ratings have recently been on the rise in the U.S. opposition Republican Party’s presidential primary, has begun targeting former President Donald Trump’s supporters in earnest. They are launching an intensive campaign in Iowa, the first Republican primary, where the party caucus will be held on January 15th next year. It appears that the watershed in this primary will be how much support former Ambassador Haley gains from ‘rednecks’ (low-educated, low-income white male workers living in the suburbs), former President Trump’s largest support base, in the Iowa caucuses. Many analysts say that if he, who has emerged as a ‘Trump opponent’, cannot crack former President Trump’s support base in the early stages of the primary, the recent surge in approval ratings could end up as a ‘typhoon in a teacup.’

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● “It will be difficult if Iowa falls behind” volume offensive

The New York Times (NYT) reported on the 25th that Americans for Prosperity (AFP), a super PAC (special political action committee) that supports former Ambassador Haley, is engaging in campaign activities in Iowa. The goal is to recruit 150 volunteers and visit 100,000 households before the Iowa caucuses to ask for support for former Ambassador Haley.

Former Ambassador Haley, who campaigned in Iowa for five days until the 21st, will head to Iowa again after visiting New Hampshire, the second Republican primary, from the 27th to the 29th. In a recent interview with local Iowa media, he emphasized, “Now is the time to launch a ground war,” and “We are covering every region.”

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Among the early primary states, Iowa and New Hampshire, which are called ‘presidential weather vanes,’ former Ambassador Haley’s approval rating is particularly slow in Iowa. According to a Fox News poll on the 21st, former Ambassador Haley’s approval rating in Iowa was 16%, falling behind not only former President Trump (52%) but also Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (18%). Unlike New Hampshire, where former Ambassador Haley’s core support base has a high proportion of highly educated, high-income, and moderate people, she does not have much power in Iowa, where there are many low-income white people in rural areas. This is why former Ambassador Haley is focusing on Iowa.

Former Ambassador Haley is targeting moderate voters by prioritizing her competitiveness in the presidential election against President Joe Biden. According to The Hill, a U.S. political media outlet, the average of 508 recent public opinion polls showed that he (42.9%) was ahead of President Biden (39.4%) by 3.5 percentage points in a one-on-one virtual match. In comparison, former President Trump (45.3%) was only 1.9 percentage points ahead of President Biden (43.4%).

However, if she falls behind in third place in the party as a result of the Iowa caucuses, there are concerns that expectations for former Ambassador Haley may cool down quickly even if she does well in New Hampshire. Amy Walter, an analyst at the U.S. political analysis group ‘The Cook Political Report’, said on a PBS broadcast, “Iowa (a primary district for party members) shows whether it can break away from the framework of New Hampshire (a primary district where voters without party affiliation can vote). “It will be a test paper,” he said.

● Trump schedules a series of judicial risks at the beginning of the year

Former President Trump is focused on rematching with President Biden and managing judicial risks.

On the 25th, he posted on his social media platform Truth Social, “Wishing a Merry Christmas to everyone, including the ‘derailed’ Jack Smith (special prosecutor), the only hope for the crooked Biden.” As schedules related to judicial risks are scheduled to continue from the beginning of the new year, including January 4th next year, which is the deadline for appealing the Colorado Supreme Court ruling that restricted former President Trump’s eligibility to participate in the primary, criticism and ridicule were poured out with a Christmas message. Former President Trump also said, “There is no Haley storm or ‘DeSanctimonious’ rebound. “It’s all fake news,” he claimed.

2024 US presidential election


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Source: Donga

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