Donald Trump and Joe Biden were the undisputed winners of the big “Super Tuesday” elections, when tens of millions of Americans voted in 15 states and one overseas territory, and there is no doubt that Soon they will be able to seal their presidential candidacy by the Republican and Democratic parties because in their respective primaries they won with an overwhelming majority almost all the constituencies at stake. But a deeper analysis of the results proves it Red flags for both candidateswhich could jeopardize his ambition to reach the White House.
After Super Tuesday, Trump has already obtained about 800 of the 1,250 delegates needed and is toying with his nomination and Biden walks away free, without major rivals. AS, They will reprint the 2020 duel and so far polls for the Nov. 5 general election show the Republican is two points ahead of the president, according to a RealClearPolitics average. Any details could tip the scales and in this sense the massive elections on Tuesday leave some clues.
Haley’s votes, a thorn in Trump’s side
The former president won by wide margins in all contested states, except in small, progressive Vermont. “There has never been anything so conclusive. This has been an incredible night, an incredible day. It has been an incredible time in the history of our country,” Trump said after the results were released.
In his speech he ignored the victory of Nikki Haley, his former ambassador to the United Nations, in Vermont, where she beat him by 4 points. Haley finally got out of the race and it’s possible that with her take the votes of the moderate voter within the Republican Party, which is tired of the chaos and Trump style and wants to return to “normality” with a predictable country, open to the world and with global leadership.
While Trump won in the rest of the conflict states, Haley’s actual protest candidacy garnered at least 35% of the vote in Massachusetts and Virginia, 34% in Colorado and at least 23% in Maine, Minnesota and North Carolina .
Another piece of information should worry Trump. In North Carolina, for example, 4 in 5 Haley voters told CNN on the way out They did not pledge to support the tycoon if he won in November. Additionally, about 3 in 10 Republican voters said Trump it wouldn’t be suitable be president if convicted of a crime.
Haley, 52, also played the age card. She attacked Trump, 77, on the issue and demanded that she take an intellectual aptitude test. You said that Americans are tired of the Biden-Trump duel and that a “generational change” is needed in the White House. In fact, according to polls, she would have beaten Biden by a greater margin than Trump.
Haley’s future was unknown until Wednesday, when she decided to end her campaign. With only 62 delegates, you were anyway a huge annoyance for Trump, that he didn’t want to waste any more time and money internally and that he was trying to focus right now on his fight with Biden and his court problems.
Despite some better-than-expected results, Haley had no chance of winning the nomination.
But it doesn’t matter if he’s still in the running or not. Their votes showed that there is an anti-Trump percentage among moderate Republicans They are not willing to vote for the tycoon, even if he is the candidate of his party. Haley was strong too among the younger and more educated sectors.
This electorate could be decisive in a close election like the one the polls are announcing for November. trump He is a god by his foundations, but in the United States the candidate who manages to conquer that moderate and independent fringe that usually leans from one side to the other wins. The mogul should stop calling Haley an “airhead” and try to convince those voters.
The vote protests against Biden
Without major rivals, President Biden continued his streak of victories by an even wider margin than Trump, far from the complicated domestic race he had in 2020, when he lost early to Bernie Sanders and managed to come back after “Super Tuesday”. But this year’s results revealed themselves a threat growing within his party and which he must urgently deal with if he wants to remain in the White House: the “uncommitted” vote of progressive protest thanks to his management in the Gaza war it grows throughout the country.
The first warning sign was last week in Michigan, where 13% of votes chose the “uncommitted” option. which promoted a movement of Arabs and Muslims living in that state, and was also supported by young people and university students.
But it was not an isolated phenomenon because The trend continued this “Super Tuesday.” This option won about 20% of the vote in Minnesota, after pro-Palestinian activists called for a protest vote. Biden won that state by a seven-point margin in 2020 and can’t afford to lose it. Michigan voted for Trump in 2016 and Biden won it back by a few votes four years later, a key turning point in reaching the White House.
This protest movement was not exclusive to the north of the country. A similar “uncommitted delegate” option garnered 7% of the vote in Colorado and another so-called “no preference” option garnered 12% in North Carolina.
A recent Fox News poll found this 65% disapproved of Biden’s handling in the conflict in the Middle East. With an eye on the domestic side, the president has sharpened his language to refer to his ally Israel and seek a solution in Gaza. This weekend, Vice President Kamala Harris called for a six-week ceasefire and said that people in Gaza “are starving, living in inhumane conditions, and humanity is forced to act.”
Biden, 81 years old, He already faces the problem of his age, which arouses distrust even among its own ranks. A New York Times/Siena poll found that 61% of those who voted for him today in 2020 do not believe he is qualified to be president.
The color data was the only defeat Biden has suffered so far in the primaries. It happened in American Samoa, a remote archipelago in the middle of the Pacific, whereand the one who triumphed was a practically unknown businessman, Jason Palmer.
Source: Clarin
Mary Ortiz is a seasoned journalist with a passion for world events. As a writer for News Rebeat, she brings a fresh perspective to the latest global happenings and provides in-depth coverage that offers a deeper understanding of the world around us.