Elections in Brazil: Lula da Silva continues to maintain a comfortable lead over Jair Bolsonaro

The leader of the Brazilian has left Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintains a distance of 14 percentage points against President Jair Bolsonaro in a poll on voting intentions ahead of the October 2 election released Wednesday.

According to the survey carried out by the firm Genial / Quaest, Lula, president of Brazil from 2003 to 2010, accumulates 45% of voting intentionsagainst 31% of Bolsonaro, who is asking for re-election for a new four-year term.

In third place, very far from the previous ones, Ciro Gomes, of the Democratic Labor Party (PDB), with 6% of the electoral preferences, which once again confirms the great polarization of Brazilian politics. There are nine other candidates which have 2% or less than that percentage.

The poll indicated that there are still 6% undecided voters, another 6% said they will abstain, vote blank or cancel their vote.

Is there a vote?

The figures released in this poll barely vary from the voting intentions of the same company’s poll last month, when Lula scored 46% and Bolsonaro 30%.

The result does not foresee a possible victory for Lula in the first round, because he needs 50% of the votes, but the same poll indicates that, in a possible second round, the left leader would get 53% of the vote and Bolsonaro 34%and the other undecided, who will abstain, vote blank or cancel their vote.

The survey was carried out with personal interviews with 2,000 voters, between June 29 and July 2, and has a margin of error of two percentage points.

“The polarization is consolidated: the decision of the vote is high. Of Lula’s voters, 78% will not change their mindswhile in the case of Bolsonaro the fidelity is 76% “, explained Felipe Nunes, director of Quaest.

Bolsonaro, the survey found, managed to recover the initiative of the population.

Bolsonaro’s rejection dropped from 66% to 59% year to date and Lula remained at 41% while the lead in sectors that earn between $ 400 and $ 1000 a month, among women and in the Southeast regions (the most populated, with São Paulo, Minas Gerais and Rio) and in the north-east, the poorest in the country and largely Lulista.

slight rebound

“My guess is that Bolsonaro he managed to give the impression that he is trying to solve the problems in the village. The percentage of those who blame the increase in fuel prices has decreased and those who blame the state-owned Petrobras have increased from 16% to 20%, “Nunes said.

The poll also indicates that there are 42% who believe that Bolsonaro is doing everything possible to prevent the gasoline increase and that 60% are aware of the president’s plan to increase the value of social plans until December, project approved. by the Senate and this must pass by the Deputies this month.

Lula promised to make a “predictable” government by speaking during a meeting with the Federation of Industries of Sao Paulo (Fiesp), whose leaders asked him to promote a reindustrialization program, local press reported.

Lula assured that if he had been elected he would have carried out a “credible, predictable and transparent” administration, published the newspaper. Leaf of St. Paul. The former governor has declared his intention to create a negotiating table between his eventual government, businessmen and workers to review labor legislation, a matter viewed with reservations by members of the Fiesp.

Source: EFE and Clarin

PB