After the historic fall, River takes out the calculator: what results are needed to go to the knockout stages in Libertadores?

into the river They’ve already taken the calculator. The realities between the local league and the Copa Libertadores are stark opposites for the millionaire, who is not having the performances he wanted in the international arena. To make matters worse, this Monday he received the biggest win against him in his history in tournaments of an international nature when he fell 5-1 with fluminense in the Maracana, with an intractable German Cano. The blow was hard not only due to the effect that being defeated by such a cumbersome result can cause, but also because the first round of the group stage has already ended and those led by Martín Demichelis have accumulated two defeats: 3 points out of 9 possible, with a goal difference of -4 (6 goals for and ten against) is what the numbers say.

The panorama appears to be more complicated than one might expect at first sight. And although there are four days left before a new Superclásico, the fans do thousands of calculations that will make them keep faith for the remaining 3 days to define the transition to the round of 16.

River are in last place in group D on goal difference. However, that’s good news within the dim outlook. Is that despite being in fourth position, Nuñez’s team still depends on itself to get his share for the next round as he shares the same units with The strongest AND Sporty crystal. The Peruvians added their first win, drew and let Fluminense slip away, the lone leader with an ideal score (9 out of 9).

Following the win, Nuñez’s team clenched a fist around 1 in the morning. The Peruvian team’s victory over The Strongest 1-0 gave River another life. In the event of a victory for the Bolivians, Demichelis’ team would depend on the results of others and the prospects would be even bleaker. Now, calculator in hand, on May 25 you will visit Sporting Cristal.

​Another good news that River should take into account is that, although it is complicated, two of the three games remaining to play will be played at home (against Fluminense and The Strongest), but first with a visit to Peru. . It’s just a question of finding the way to victory that allows him to access the round of 16. Now yes, it’s time to calculate.

The results River needs to go through

– If River wins its 3 remaining games, will advance directly to the round of 16 with 12 units. It could even be in first place if Fluminense won’t win more games.

– If they beat Sporting Cristal in Peru, The Strongest at Monumental and draw with Fluminensethus collecting a total of 10 points, they will also be enough for Demichelis’ team to qualify for the first knockout round.

– They should win two of their remaining games and lose one, reaching 9 units may be enough to keep the second position, even if not in a guaranteed way. Suffering a possible defeat against The Strongest or Sporting Cristal would mean not only the obligation to beat Fluminense but also for the Brazilians to give them a hand by taking points from the two remaining teams to give River peace of mind, in a context where goal difference can play an important role and would disadvantage the current local league leaders. Therefore, the rival River fails to score with would not matter and the appearance of the calculator is a possibility.

– If you don’t win two games, that is, you get a maximum of 8 points (one win and two draws) River will be completely dependent on other results. In those cases the calculator will be used by all fans, as well as the execution of some possible prayers. Only once in history has a team progressed to the round with that many points or fewer: precisely River in 2015 with 7 points, led by Gallardo in what would later be their first Copa Libertadores victory.

What happens in case of equal points?

If the tie in units persists after the end of the group stage, a criterion is applied to determine the order of the positions. The first factor that will lead to a tiebreaker is the goal differencebut if there is also a draw in this, it must be seen which of the tied teams has highest number of goals scored.

If equality still persists, the third criterion will be the number of away goals scored by each teamleaving the criterion of the use of Ranking Conmebol (River tops all of his group opponents) as the last factor in the event of a triple-draw conditions.